Controlling vapor compression system using probabilistic surrogate model

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Solution Overview

Problem

Vapor compression systems, such as heat pumps and air-conditioning systems, face inefficiencies due to the complexity of mathematical models and slow convergence of extremum-seeking controllers, which hinder real-time optimization and energy efficiency.

Innovation Solution

A data-driven approach using a probabilistic surrogate model and Bayesian optimization to determine optimal setpoints for vapor compression systems, separating optimization from control and incorporating uncertainties to reduce the number of samples needed for model construction.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Loss of energy

If mathematical models are used to predict optimal control inputs, then energy efficiency can be improved, but the models become difficult to derive, calibrate, and update

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveenergy efficiencyVSAvoidmodel complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Loss of energyVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent creates a simplified surrogate model that copies the essential input-output behavior of the complex vapor compression system without replicating its full physical complexity. This surrogate model uses measured operational data to establish relationships between control inputs and energy consumption, avoiding the need to derive and calibrate complex first-principles mathematical models while still enabling energy optimization.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #26Copying

Solution Approach 2:

The patent replaces traditional physics-based mathematical modeling with a data-driven surrogate model approach. Instead of using complex thermodynamic equations and physical principles that require extensive calibration, the system uses empirical data from actual system operation to build a simplified predictive model that captures the essential energy consumption patterns.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

2Loss of energy

If extremum-seeking controllers are used to optimize control inputs, then energy consumption can be minimized, but the convergence time becomes several hours

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveenergy consumptionVSAvoidconvergence time
Core Design Contradiction:
Loss of energyVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The patent performs preliminary optimization using the surrogate model to predict and identify near-optimal control settings before applying them to the actual system. This pre-computation step uses the fast-evaluating surrogate model to explore the control space and converge to optimal settings, avoiding the slow real-time convergence requirements of traditional extremum-seeking controllers.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The surrogate model serves as an intermediary between the control system and the actual vapor compression system. It acts as a fast, simplified proxy that enables rapid optimization calculations, allowing the system to quickly identify optimal control inputs without requiring slow, iterative real-time convergence of complex controllers.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

3Loss of energy

If traditional optimization methods are used, then optimal setpoints can be determined, but the computational burden increases and real-time optimization is hindered

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveenergy optimizationVSAvoidreal-time optimization capability
Core Design Contradiction:
Loss of energyVSProductivity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent uses a computationally inexpensive surrogate model that can be rapidly evaluated many times during optimization. This lightweight model sacrifices some fidelity compared to full physics-based models but enables fast, real-time optimization calculations that can be performed repeatedly without excessive computational burden.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #27Cheap short-living objects (Disposable)

Data Source

PatentUS11573023B2Controlling vapor compression system using probabilistic surrogate model
Publication Date: 2023.02.07 MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC RESEARCH LABORATORIES INC
  • US11573023B2 patent drawing
  • US11573023B2 patent drawing
  • US11573023B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A controller for controlling a vapor compression system is provided. The controller is configured to control an operation of the VCS with different combinations of setpoints for different actuators of the VCS to estimate a cost of operation of the VCS for each of the different combinations of setpoints, and compute, using a Bayesian optimization of the combinations of setpoints and their corresponding estimated costs of operation, a probabilistic surrogate model, wherein the probabilistic surrogate model defines at least first two order moments of the cost of operation in the probabilistic mapping. The controller is further configured to select an optimal combination of setpoints having the largest likelihood of being a global minimum at the surrogate model according to an acquisition function of the first two order moments of the cost of operation.