Deep Causal Models for Multimodal Agricultural Outcome Queries

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current systems face challenges in processing multimodal information, handling sparse data and noise, integrating with large language models, and determining causal estimates due to unobserved confounders and insufficient data, particularly in agriculture-based applications.

Innovation Solution

A causal query system utilizing deep causal machine-learning models and large generative models to process multimodal inputs, including images and unstructured data, to determine accurate and unbiased causal outcomes for agricultural queries.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Adaptability or versatility

If conventional machine learning systems process multimodal information, then they can handle diverse data types, but they suffer from sparse data, noise, and difficulty in correlating features

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemultimodal information processingVSAvoidcausal estimate accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The system segments the causal inference problem into distinct components: observed confounders are adjusted for separately from unobserved confounders. The treatment effect is decomposed into direct effects and indirect effects through mediators, allowing each segment to be modeled with appropriate techniques for handling sparse and noisy data.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The patent introduces mediators as intermediary variables that transmit the effect of treatment on outcome. By explicitly modeling these mediators, the system can separate direct treatment effects from indirect effects, improving causal estimate accuracy while handling multimodal data through the mediator structure.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

2Adaptability or versatility

If systems integrate deep learning models with large language models, then they can process complex agricultural data, but they face challenges in determining causal estimates due to unobserved confounders

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedata processing capabilityVSAvoidcausal effect measurement
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary actions by adjusting for observed confounders before estimating treatment effects. This preliminary adjustment creates a cleaner dataset for subsequent causal inference, reducing the impact of unobserved confounders and improving measurement precision of causal effects.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The patent changes parameters by transforming raw agricultural data into standardized features and embeddings suitable for deep learning models. This parameter transformation enables the integration of diverse data types while maintaining the ability to estimate causal effects accurately by controlling for confounders in the transformed space.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

3Measurement precision

If conventional systems use traditional statistical methods, then they can handle structured data, but they struggle with high-dimensional and complex agricultural data

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecausal estimate accuracyVSAvoidhandling complex data types
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSAdaptability or versatility

Solution Approach 1:

The system substitutes traditional mechanical statistical methods with deep learning-based causal inference mechanisms. Neural networks replace conventional regression and analysis of variance methods, enabling the handling of high-dimensional complex agricultural data while maintaining causal estimate accuracy through learned representations and confounder adjustment.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent creates a composite approach by combining deep learning models with causal inference frameworks. This composite system integrates the pattern recognition capabilities of neural networks with the causal reasoning of statistical methods, enabling accurate causal estimation on complex multimodal agricultural data that neither approach could handle alone.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #40Composite materials

4Quantity of substance

If systems process sparse and noisy agricultural data, then they can capture more features, but they face difficulty in correlating features and determining causal relationships

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedata featuresVSAvoidcausal relationship determination
Core Design Contradiction:
Quantity of substanceVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary feature engineering and selection to identify the most relevant features from sparse and noisy agricultural data. By pre-processing and filtering features before causal analysis, the system reduces noise and sparsity while preserving important causal signals, improving the reliability of causal relationship determination.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The patent transforms sparse and noisy features into dense embeddings through neural network layers. This parameter transformation converts high-dimensional sparse input features into lower-dimensional dense representations that capture essential patterns, enabling reliable causal relationship determination even when original data is sparse and noisy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

Data Source

PatentUS20250245442A1Generating causal query outcomes using deep causal machine-learning model models
Publication Date: 2025.07.31 MICROSOFT TECHNOLOGY LICENSING LLC
  • US20250245442A1 patent drawing
  • US20250245442A1 patent drawing
  • US20250245442A1 patent drawing

AI summary

This disclosure describes a causal query system that determines causal outcomes for agriculture-based causal queries using one or more deep causal machine-learning models, including deep multimodal causal machine-learning models. For example, the causal query system generates one or more deep causal machine-learning models to determine targeted causal outcomes based on combinations of treatments and covariates. Additionally, in many instances, these deep causal machine-learning models also allow for various types of data input, such as overhead images and unstructured data.