Digital Twin for Electric Bus Fleet Utilization
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Solution Overview
Problem
Transit agencies face challenges in efficiently managing electric transit fleets due to limitations in predicting battery range and charging time of electric buses, leading to reduced utilization and increased costs, as existing methods rely on simplistic estimates and cannot account for varying environmental conditions.
Innovation Solution
A system utilizing a digital twin platform with automated learning to generate behavior models for electric vehicles, optimizing block assignments and charging strategies based on real-time data, including telematics, traffic, and weather information, using physics-based and neural network models to predict energy consumption and charging times.
Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles
Engineering Contradiction Analysis
1Device complexity
If simplified estimation methods are used for battery range and charging time, then system complexity is reduced, but prediction accuracy deteriorates
Solution Approach 1:
The patent implements dynamic prediction models that continuously adapt to changing environmental conditions (temperature, humidity, traffic patterns) rather than using static simplified estimates. The system updates battery performance predictions in real-time based on actual operating conditions, resolving the contradiction by making the system complex enough to capture dynamics but structured enough to remain manageable.
Solution Approach 2:
The patent introduces digital twin technology as an intermediary between physical battery systems and prediction algorithms. These virtual models serve as mediators that simulate battery behavior under various conditions, providing accurate predictions without requiring direct complex measurements from physical systems, thus maintaining prediction accuracy while managing system complexity.
2Reliability
If environmental conditions are not considered in predictions, then computational requirements are reduced, but prediction reliability deteriorates
Solution Approach 1:
The patent performs preliminary analysis of environmental factors by pre-processing and categorizing environmental data before main prediction computations. The system pre-identifies relevant environmental conditions (temperature ranges, traffic patterns) and prepares prediction models in advance, reducing the computational energy required during actual prediction operations while maintaining reliability through comprehensive environmental consideration.
Solution Approach 2:
The patent dynamically adjusts prediction model parameters based on environmental conditions, activating only the necessary computational models for current conditions. For example, thermal models are activated only when temperature variations are significant, reducing unnecessary computational energy consumption while maintaining prediction reliability when environmental factors are relevant.
3Productivity
If real-time optimization is implemented for fleet assignments, then operational efficiency is improved, but system complexity increases
Solution Approach 1:
The patent segments the fleet optimization problem into modular components: vehicle state monitoring, environmental condition assessment, prediction model selection, and assignment optimization. Each module handles a specific aspect independently, allowing real-time optimization without requiring a monolithic complex system. This modular approach improves operational efficiency while managing system complexity through divide-and-conquer strategy.
Solution Approach 2:
The patent implements feedback loops where actual operational data from fleet vehicles continuously updates prediction models and optimization algorithms. The system monitors real-time vehicle states, compares predicted vs. actual performance, and adjusts assignments dynamically. This feedback mechanism enables sustained operational efficiency improvements without permanently increasing system complexity, as the system learns and adapts over time.
Data Source
AI summary
A hierarchical system increases the utilization of a fleet of Battery Electric Buses (BEBs) by optimally assigning work to and providing charging strategies for the BEBs. The system includes a digital twin platform for generating behavior models for the electric vehicles, charging stations for the electric vehicles, or both; an assignment and strategy module for optimally assigning blocks and determining optimal charging strategies for the electric vehicles; and a depot parking and management module for parking and charging the electric vehicles according to optimal charging strategies. In some embodiments, the behavior models can be adjusted in real time in response to the occurrences of events.


