Digital Twin Predicting Non-Linear Well Dynamics
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Solution Overview
Problem
Physics-based models face limitations in accurately replicating complex well dynamics behaviors, particularly those difficult to model using a lumped-parameter approach, which hampers real-time dynamics performance prediction in well systems.
Innovation Solution
A digital twin system employing a physics-constrained machine learning model, combining a Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm and an artificial neural network, is developed to predict non-linear well dynamics by training on both physics-based and real-time data, thereby improving prediction accuracy and reducing errors.
Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles
Engineering Contradiction Analysis
1Measurement precision
If a physics-based model is used to predict well dynamics behavior, then the model provides a good degree of accuracy for general dynamics, but it fails to accurately replicate complex non-linear well subsystem behaviors that are difficult to model with a lumped-parameter approach
Solution Approach 1:
The patent combines a physics-based model with a machine learning model into a hybrid system. The physics-based model provides general dynamics prediction using lumped-parameter approach, while the ML model specifically handles complex non-linear behaviors that the physics model cannot capture. The two models work together to compensate for each other's limitations, achieving both accuracy and adaptability.
Solution Approach 2:
The patent creates a composite modeling approach by integrating two different modeling paradigms: traditional physics-based modeling and modern machine learning modeling. This composite model leverages the strengths of both approaches - the physical interpretability and general accuracy of physics-based models, and the adaptive pattern recognition capability of ML models - to achieve superior overall performance in predicting well dynamics.
2Measurement precision
If a machine learning model is trained on field well measurements to improve real-time dynamics prediction, then the prediction accuracy for real-time performance improves, but the model may overfit the training data and lose generalization capability
Solution Approach 1:
The patent implements a feedback mechanism where the physics-based model provides constraints and guidance to the machine learning model during training and prediction. The physics model ensures that predictions remain physically plausible, preventing the ML model from overfitting to noise or unrealistic patterns in the training data. This feedback loop maintains generalization capability while improving real-time prediction accuracy.
Solution Approach 2:
The patent modifies the training approach by incorporating physics-based constraints as additional parameters or regularization terms in the ML model training process. This changes the optimization landscape to favor solutions that are both data-driven and physically consistent, thereby improving real-time accuracy without sacrificing generalization to new operating conditions.
Data Source
AI summary
A method of managing a well system includes: obtaining, by a digital twin manager and based on a predetermined monitoring criterion, well dynamics behavior data of the well system; obtaining, by the digital twin manager, modeled well dynamics behavior data for the well system using a physics-based model; training, by the digital twin manager, a physics constrained machine learning model using one or more machine learning algorithms based on the well dynamics behavior data and the modeled well dynamics behavior data as input data; obtaining, by the digital twin manager, real-time well dynamics behavior data of the well system; outputting, by the digital twin manager, predicted well dynamics behavior data using the real-time well dynamics behavior data, the physics-based model, and the trained physics constrained machine learning model; and transmitting a command to the well system that adjusts a well operation based on the predicted well dynamics behavior data.


