Disturbance Estimation With Explainable ML for Water-Intensive Processes

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Solution Overview

Problem

Complex industrial processes like papermaking and water treatment generate vast amounts of data, making it difficult for existing systems to accurately interpret and address disturbances using machine learning algorithms, leading to unreliable recommendations for improving process performance.

Innovation Solution

A method and arrangement that involves measuring and pre-processing data, estimating disturbances by normalizing and scaling pre-selected variables, and forming recommendations by mapping these estimations to status categories, using a combination of machine learning values and explanation values to provide actionable insights for adjusting setpoints and raw materials.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If machine learning algorithms are used to analyze vast amounts of process data, then the ability to detect disturbances is improved, but the interpretability and reliability of the results deteriorate

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedisturbance detection accuracyVSAvoidinterpretability of ML outcomes
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of information

Solution Approach 1:

The patent introduces explanation values (such as SHAP values, LIME method, or DeepLIFT method) as an intermediary between the machine learning algorithm outcomes and the user. These explanation values translate the complex, hard-to-interpret ML outputs into understandable information about how different input variables contribute to disturbance detection, thereby maintaining both high detection accuracy and interpretability

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent segments the analysis by applying the ML algorithm separately to different groups of variables (pre-selected groups) rather than analyzing all variables simultaneously. This segmentation makes the complex multivariable analysis more manageable and interpretable while still capturing the essential disturbance patterns

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

2Reliability

If all process variables are analyzed simultaneously, then comprehensive disturbance detection is achieved, but the complexity of the system increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedisturbance estimation accuracyVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent divides the set of all process variables into multiple pre-selected groups, where each group is associated with specific disturbance types or process areas. The ML algorithm is applied separately to each group, which reduces the computational complexity and makes the system more manageable while maintaining comprehensive coverage of all variables through the aggregation of results from different groups

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The patent applies the ML algorithm to pre-selected groups of variables rather than all variables at once, using partial action on subsets of data. This approach reduces system complexity while still achieving reliable disturbance detection by focusing computational resources on the most relevant variable groups for each disturbance type

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

Data Source

PatentUS20240192676A1A method for estimating disturbances and giving recommendations for improving process performance
Publication Date: 2024.06.13 KEMIRA OY
  • US20240192676A1 patent drawing
  • US20240192676A1 patent drawing
  • US20240192676A1 patent drawing

AI summary

The invention provides a method for estimating disturbances and giving recommendations for process performance of a water intensive industrial process. The method takes into account a huge number of process variables.