Dynamic Baselining for Prescriptive Equipment Anomaly Detection

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Solution Overview

Problem

Conventional condition-based predictive maintenance systems fail to accurately detect system anomalies due to improper baseline conditions and assume static optimal operating states, leading to inaccurate maintenance predictions and reliance on expert validation.

Innovation Solution

A fully automated system that collects and analyzes data to determine the optimal operating condition of industrial equipment, using statistical, mathematical, or machine learning models to predict and adjust for changing baseline conditions, eliminating the need for subjective expert validation and providing prescriptive maintenance recommendations.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Ease of operation

If conventional predictive maintenance systems use static pre-defined baseline conditions, then the system complexity is reduced and ease of operation is improved, but the measurement precision of anomaly detection deteriorates and reliability decreases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveease of baseliningVSAvoidanomaly detection accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of operationVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The system transitions from static pre-defined baselines to dynamic baselines that automatically adapt to changing operating conditions. The baseline condition is continuously updated based on real-time data from multiple sensors, allowing the system to maintain high measurement precision while remaining easy to operate. The dynamic baseline adjusts to greenfield and brownfield installations automatically without requiring expert intervention.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

Solution Approach 2:

The system performs self-baselining by automatically determining optimal baseline conditions using machine learning algorithms and multi-source data analysis. This eliminates the need for expert engineers to manually validate baseline conditions, making the system both easy to operate and highly accurate. The self-service capability includes automatic anomaly detection and prescriptive maintenance recommendations.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

2Reliability

If expert engineers manually validate system baseline conditions, then the reliability of baseline determination is improved, but the loss of time and productivity decrease

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvebaseline validation accuracyVSAvoidtime for baseline validation
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system automatically validates baseline conditions using machine learning models that analyze multi-source data including sensor readings, operational parameters, and environmental conditions. This self-validation process eliminates the need for expert engineers to manually review and approve baseline conditions, significantly reducing time loss while maintaining or improving reliability through automated anomaly detection algorithms.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

Solution Approach 2:

The manual expert validation process is replaced with an automated computational system that uses statistical models and machine learning algorithms to determine and validate baseline conditions. This substitution of mechanical human expertise with automated computational analysis maintains high reliability while eliminating the time consumption associated with manual validation.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

3Ease of operation

If the system assumes current operating state is optimal baseline state, then the ease of operation is improved, but the manufacturing precision of baseline condition determination deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvebaseline determination simplicityVSAvoidoptimal condition accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of operationVSManufacturing precision

Solution Approach 1:

The system continuously monitors operating conditions and compares actual performance against dynamically determined baseline conditions. When deviations are detected, the system provides prescriptive maintenance recommendations and automatically adjusts the baseline if necessary. This feedback loop ensures high manufacturing precision in baseline determination while maintaining ease of operation through automated adjustments.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Solution Approach 2:

The system performs self-optimization by automatically determining the true optimal baseline condition through analysis of historical and real-time data, rather than simply assuming the current state is optimal. This self-service capability maintains operational simplicity while achieving high precision in baseline determination through automated machine learning algorithms that identify optimal operating parameters.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

Data Source

PatentUS20230244192A1System and method for corrective action to achieve baseline condition
Publication Date: 2023.08.03 KORBER SUPPLY CHAIN LLC
  • US20230244192A1 patent drawing
  • US20230244192A1 patent drawing
  • US20230244192A1 patent drawing

AI summary

A system, method, and medium for corrective action to achieve baseline condition including a communication component and a processor. The communication component receives input data associated with one or more operating conditions of an equipment utilized for baseline activity and captures baseline data relating to a system baseline associated with a corrective action recommendation. The processor predicts an optimal operating condition based on at least one of a statistical model, a mathematical model, or a machine learning model of the equipment and determine the corrective action recommendation based on the optimal operating condition. The corrective action recommendation is associated with the system baseline. The processor also detects one or more anomalies from the baseline data deviating from the system baseline beyond a predetermined range, and re-evaluates the optimal operating condition based on the anomaly or anomalies.