Engine Component Service Planning with RUL and Downtime Prediction

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Solution Overview

Problem

Engine systems face challenges in optimizing maintenance schedules, leading to premature or delayed component replacement, resulting in inefficient use of resources and downtime.

Innovation Solution

A method and system for generating service recommendations based on remaining useful life (RUL) values, duty cycle information, and cost analysis, which dynamically populates service intervals and downtime predictions to prioritize maintenance and reduce downtime.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If routine maintenance is performed too frequently, then component reliability is improved, but resource efficiency deteriorates due to premature repair and replacement

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecomponent reliabilityVSAvoidresource efficiency
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of energy

Solution Approach 1:

The system changes the maintenance parameter from fixed time-based intervals to dynamic RUL-based intervals. By continuously monitoring component degradation and adjusting maintenance timing according to actual remaining useful life predictions, the system optimizes the balance between reliability and resource efficiency, preventing both premature and delayed maintenance.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

Solution Approach 2:

The system enables the engine components to effectively monitor their own health status through integrated sensors and RUL prediction algorithms. Each component's degradation state is autonomously assessed, and maintenance recommendations are generated based on actual component conditions rather than external schedules, allowing the system to self-optimize maintenance timing.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

2Loss of energy

If routine maintenance is performed too infrequently, then resource efficiency is improved, but component reliability deteriorates as components reach end of useful life

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveresource efficiencyVSAvoidcomponent reliability
Core Design Contradiction:
Loss of energyVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The system implements continuous feedback loops where sensor data from engine components is constantly monitored, RUL is dynamically predicted based on degradation trends, and maintenance recommendations are adjusted in real-time. This feedback mechanism ensures that maintenance timing always reflects actual component conditions, preventing reliability deterioration while avoiding unnecessary maintenance.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Solution Approach 2:

The system performs preliminary RUL assessment and degradation monitoring before components actually fail. By predicting remaining useful life in advance and generating maintenance recommendations proactively, the system allows planned maintenance to be scheduled before reliability deteriorates, avoiding unexpected failures while optimizing resource usage.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

3Reliability

If multiple service recommendations are generated separately, then service coverage is improved, but service coordination deteriorates leading to increased downtime

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveservice coverageVSAvoidservice downtime
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system merges multiple separate service recommendations into a single coordinated maintenance plan. By aggregating RUL-based recommendations from different engine components and synthesizing them into one unified service schedule, the system ensures comprehensive service coverage while minimizing total downtime through coordinated scheduling of all required maintenance tasks.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #5Merging (Combining)

Solution Approach 2:

The system segments service recommendations into near-term and extended-term categories based on RUL thresholds, allowing prioritized handling of urgent components while planning for future maintenance. This segmentation enables efficient resource allocation and coordinated scheduling, addressing immediate reliability needs while optimizing long-term service planning to reduce overall downtime.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Data Source

PatentUS20240303611A1Systems and methods for generating a service recommendation
Publication Date: 2024.09.12 CUMMINS POWER GENERATION INC
  • US20240303611A1 patent drawing
  • US20240303611A1 patent drawing
  • US20240303611A1 patent drawing

AI summary

A method includes: receiving system data corresponding to an engine system. The system data includes a plurality of remaining useful life (RUL) values with each RUL value associated with a component of the engine system. The method further includes: comparing a first RUL value to a service interval threshold; generating a near-term service recommendation including a first list of components that correspond to each RUL value that are less than or equal to the service interval threshold; generating an extended term service recommendation including a second list of components and a downtime prediction; generating a coordinated service recommendation by dynamically populating one or more fields of the coordinated service recommendation based on the near-term service recommendation and the extended term service recommendation; and providing the combined service recommendation to a user device.