Ensemble Model Diversity via Data Clustering for Imbalanced Prediction

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current machine learning operations face challenges in creating predictive models for imbalanced data sets, particularly in medical applications like hypoglycemia prediction for diabetes patients, where the minority class is crucial but hard to learn due to class imbalance, leading to inefficient predictions.

Innovation Solution

The method involves creating diverse ensemble models by clustering minority class data points and combining them with random samples from the majority class, using supervised machine learning to enhance model diversity and accuracy, and employing unsupervised learning to generate models that can predict hypoglycemic events in diabetes patients.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Productivity

If traditional supervised machine learning is used on imbalanced data sets, then the model can be trained quickly, but the prediction accuracy for minority class events (hypoglycemia) deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvetraining speedVSAvoidprediction accuracy for minority class
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments the imbalanced data set into multiple balanced data sets by clustering minority class instances and pairing them with majority class instances. This segmentation allows the training process to focus on balanced subsets, improving minority class prediction accuracy while maintaining training efficiency through automated processing.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The patent changes the data distribution parameter by transforming the original imbalanced data set into multiple balanced data sets. This parameter change enables the model to learn minority class patterns more effectively without sacrificing training speed, as the balancing process is systematic and computationally efficient.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

2Measurement precision

If ensemble models are created to improve prediction accuracy, then the model diversity increases, but the computational complexity and training time increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction accuracyVSAvoidmodel complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments the ensemble training process into multiple independent iterations, where each iteration trains a base learner on a specific balanced data set. This segmentation allows for controlled model diversity while managing complexity through systematic variation of training data rather than complex model architectures.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The patent creates multiple ensemble models (excessive action) to ensure sufficient diversity for accurate minority class prediction. By generating more models than traditionally necessary, the system compensates for the simplicity of individual base learners, achieving high accuracy through quantity and diversity rather than individual model complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

3Reliability

If more ensemble models are created to handle class imbalance, then the prediction reliability for minority class improves, but the resource consumption and processing time increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction reliability for minority classVSAvoidprocessing time
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The patent performs preliminary action by pre-processing the imbalanced data set into multiple balanced data sets before ensemble training. This preliminary balancing reduces the computational burden during the actual training phase, allowing multiple ensemble models to be trained more efficiently and reducing overall processing time while maintaining high reliability for minority class prediction.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The patent changes the data distribution parameter to balanced distributions across multiple data sets, which enables faster training convergence for each base learner in the ensemble. This parameter change reduces the time required to train multiple models while maintaining the diversity needed for reliable minority class prediction.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

Data Source

PatentUS11593716B2Enhanced ensemble model diversity and learning
Publication Date: 2023.02.28 INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINE CORPORATION
  • US11593716B2 patent drawing
  • US11593716B2 patent drawing
  • US11593716B2 patent drawing

AI summary

Embodiments for implementing enhanced ensemble model diversity and learning by a processor. One or more data sets may be created by combining one or more clusters of data points of a minority class with selected data points of a majority class. One or more ensemble models may be created from the one or more data sets using a supervised machine learning operation. An occurrence of an event may be predicted using the one or more ensemble models.