Epidemiological Technology Detection Algorithm

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current methods for analyzing bibliographic data from technical papers and patents are limited in predicting which technologies will be important at the time of publication, failing to identify disruptive or highly innovative technologies in a prospective manner.

Innovation Solution

A computer-implemented system that utilizes epidemiological models to analyze the linkages and interactions of technologies, employing a detection algorithm to identify exponential or logarithmic growth, and reorganizes informational return to provide real-time evaluation of commercial interest through a dynamic optimization model and technology potential evaluation.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If traditional citation analysis methods are used to identify important technologies, then retrospective identification of important technologies is achieved, but prospective detection of disruptive technologies near publication is not possible

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedetection accuracy of emerging technologiesVSAvoidtime delay in identifying important technologies
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary analysis of bibliographic data patterns, citation networks, and technology linkages before technologies become widely recognized. By continuously monitoring and analyzing publication data in real-time, the system detects early signals of emerging technologies and predicts their future importance before they become mainstream, enabling proactive rather than reactive identification.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system transitions from static retrospective analysis to dynamic real-time monitoring of technology evolution. It continuously updates technology importance scores based on changing citation patterns, publication velocities, and network linkages, allowing the system to adapt to emerging trends as they develop rather than relying on fixed historical assessments.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

2Loss of information

If comprehensive bibliographic data analysis is conducted to identify technology linkages, then technology integration insights are provided, but computational complexity and data processing requirements increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecompleteness of technology linkage informationVSAvoidsystem complexity for data processing
Core Design Contradiction:
Loss of informationVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system segments the comprehensive bibliographic data into manageable components including individual technology domains, citation networks, and linkage relationships. By organizing data into hierarchical structures and processing different segments independently, the system can analyze vast amounts of bibliographic information without being overwhelmed by computational complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The system introduces intermediary data structures and processing layers that mediate between raw bibliographic data and final analysis results. These intermediaries include technology classification schemas, citation network representations, and linkage relationship models that simplify complex data relationships and enable efficient processing while preserving comprehensive information.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

Data Source

PatentUS10936673B1System and method for detecting and forecasting the emergence of technologies
Publication Date: 2021.03.02 ONTOLOGICS INC
  • US10936673B1 patent drawing
  • US10936673B1 patent drawing
  • US10936673B1 patent drawing

AI summary

The system provided herein is a computer-implemented system that defines a social network using the linkages of technologies. According to one the teachings, the system looks for pandemic spread or integration of technology through this network to determine when an outbreak of a new technology is occurring.