Estimating System Arrival Time via Via Point Staying Time
Find Innovative SolutionsGenerate Solutions
Solution Overview
Problem
Existing systems for estimating the arrival time of a mobile object, such as a delivery person, at a destination lack accuracy due to the exclusion of staying time periods, which vary significantly by location, and require manual terminal operation to recalculate arrival times.
Innovation Solution
An estimating system that includes a processor and memory to acquire and estimate staying time periods at via points based on historical data and feature information, integrating these into the arrival time calculation to improve accuracy without requiring manual recalculation.
Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles
Engineering Contradiction Analysis
1Measurement precision
If the arrival time is estimated based only on movement time periods between delivery destinations, then the calculation is simple, but the estimation accuracy is insufficient because staying time periods are not considered
Solution Approach 1:
The system pre-calculates and stores staying time periods for various via points based on historical delivery data before actual deliveries occur. This preliminary preparation allows the estimation system to quickly retrieve and apply staying time information without complex real-time calculations, thereby improving accuracy while maintaining system simplicity
Solution Approach 2:
The total delivery time is segmented into distinct components: movement time between destinations and staying time at via points. By separating these time periods and estimating them independently using different data sources (real-time positioning for movement, historical data for staying), the system achieves higher overall estimation accuracy without excessive complexity
2Measurement precision
If the arrival time is recalculated by detecting actual delivery status, then the estimation accuracy increases, but the system requires manual terminal operation which reduces ease of operation
Solution Approach 1:
The system automatically estimates staying time periods by detecting the mobile object's positioning information and matching it with pre-stored via point data, without requiring manual terminal operation. The delivery person simply needs to move through the delivery route, and the system self-automatically calculates arrival times by retrieving historical staying time data, thereby maintaining ease of operation while improving accuracy
Solution Approach 2:
The system uses historical delivery data as feedback to continuously improve staying time estimates. By accumulating and analyzing past delivery patterns at various via points, the system refines its estimation algorithms, enabling accurate predictions without requiring active user participation or manual status reporting
3Measurement precision
If staying time periods are estimated based on historical data, then the estimation accuracy improves, but more data processing is required
Solution Approach 1:
The system performs data processing in advance by pre-calculating and storing typical staying time periods for various via points based on historical delivery data. This offline preparation eliminates the need for intensive real-time data processing during actual deliveries, thereby maintaining high estimation accuracy while minimizing data processing time loss
Solution Approach 2:
Instead of processing all historical data in real-time, the system processes only the necessary portion of data that has already been aggregated into via point-specific staying time profiles. This selective use of pre-processed data reduces computational burden during delivery operations while still providing accurate estimates
Data Source
AI summary
Provided is an estimating system including: at least one memory configured to store computer program code; and at least one processor configured to access said at least one memory and operate according to said computer program code, said computer program code including: via point acquisition code configured to cause the at least one processor to acquire a position of a via point, wherein the route is a path followed by a mobile object when the mobile object moves toward a destination; staying time period code configured to cause the at least one processor to estimate, based on the position of the via point, a staying time period; and arrival time code configured to cause the at least one processor to estimate, by including the staying time period, an arrival time of the mobile object at the destination.