Adaptive Existence Probability Estimation for Vehicle Sensor Fusion

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current detection systems lack the ability to adaptively model existence probabilities using information from multiple sensor sources over time, leading to inaccuracies due to changing environmental conditions, and fail to effectively distinguish between false negative and false positive cases.

Innovation Solution

A method that involves each sensor or sensor group estimating object status and existence probabilities, merging these into a fusion list, identifying and storing false negative and positive cases, and using feedback to adapt detection and clutter probability models, thereby improving the accuracy of existence probability estimation.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Adaptability or versatility

If conventional detection systems use a priori knowledge for modeling detection and clutter probabilities, then the system can operate with simple initial models, but the accuracy of existence probability estimation deteriorates under changing environmental conditions

Engineering Contradiction:
ImproveAdaptability to changing environmental conditionsVSAvoidAccuracy of existence probability estimation
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent implements feedback loops where detection results from multiple sensors are fed back to update detection and clutter probability models. The system continuously refines these models by comparing sensor measurements with fused results, identifying false negative and false positive cases, and adapting the probability models accordingly. This feedback mechanism enables the system to adapt to changing environmental conditions while maintaining high accuracy in existence probability estimation.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Solution Approach 2:

The system performs preliminary actions by establishing initial detection and clutter probability models using a priori knowledge before actual detection begins. These preliminary models serve as starting points that are subsequently refined through feedback from real sensor data, allowing the system to begin operations immediately while continuing to improve accuracy over time.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

2Measurement precision

If multiple sensors monitor a region, then the system can identify false negative and false positive cases through comparison, but the device complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
ImproveAbility to identify false negative and false positive casesVSAvoidNumber of sensor sources and processing requirements
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent merges data from multiple sensor sources into a unified fusion list, combining detection results from different sensors to identify false negative and false positive cases. By merging sensor information and processing them through a common framework, the system achieves improved measurement precision without proportionally increasing device complexity, as the merging process itself provides the cross-validation needed to identify errors.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #5Merging (Combining)

Solution Approach 2:

The system implements a universal fusion framework that handles multiple sensor types and processing functions within a single system architecture. This multi-functional approach allows the same infrastructure to perform detection, fusion, cross-validation, and model adaptation, reducing overall system complexity compared to having separate specialized systems for each function.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

3Measurement precision

If the system sums false negative and false positive cases over time to adapt detection probabilities, then the accuracy of existence probability estimation improves, but the loss of time for processing and storing historical data increases

Engineering Contradiction:
ImproveAccuracy of detection and clutter probability modelingVSAvoidTime for summing and processing historical false cases
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs periodic updates of detection and clutter probability models by summing false negative and false positive cases over time intervals. Rather than continuous processing, the system accumulates error cases and performs model adaptation at periodic intervals, reducing computational overhead while still achieving accurate probability estimation through cumulative learning from historical data.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #19Periodic action

Data Source

PatentUS11937153B2Method for improving the estimation of existence probabilities
Publication Date: 2024.03.19 ROBERT BOSCH GMBH
  • US11937153B2 patent drawing
  • US11937153B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A method for improving the estimation of an existence probability of objects. The objects are detected using sensors installed in a vehicle and/or an infrastructure component. Each tracker of a sensor and/or a sensor group estimates a status of an object and its existence probability using a detection probability model. The detected objects are merged in a fusion list, and each object is assigned a state and an existence probability. Each object of the fusion list is assigned existence probabilities. Each object of the fusion list is assigned additional information indicating which sensor and/or which sensor group has/have detected the respective object in the last measuring cycle. At least sensor-specific and/or sensor-group-specific existence probabilities of fused existence probabilities and the sensor detection probability are compared in a crosscheck, and false negative cases and false positive cases are ascertained for each sensor and/or sensor groups.