Analytical Rate Function Estimation via Gaussian Cox Process

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Solution Overview

Problem

Approximation methods like the variational Bayesian method can introduce errors and biases in estimating the rate function, making it difficult to quantify errors and potentially adopting incorrect values as correct.

Innovation Solution

An estimation apparatus that analytically estimates the rate function using a Gaussian Cox process, incorporating a rate function estimation unit with a GCP kernel and parameters to generate a rate function estimator, which calculates occurrence rates without approximation.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Productivity

If the variational Bayesian method is used to approximate the rate function, then the estimation can be performed computationally, but errors and biases are introduced making it difficult to evaluate accuracy

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecomputational efficiencyVSAvoidestimation accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces the approximate variational Bayesian method with an analytical solution based on Gaussian Cox process theory. This substitution eliminates the need for iterative approximation while providing exact mathematical formulations for the rate function estimation, thereby resolving the contradiction between computational efficiency and estimation accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

2Ease of manufacture

If approximation methods are used to estimate the rate function, then computation is feasible, but incorrect estimated values may be adopted as correct ones

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecomputational feasibilityVSAvoidestimation reliability
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of manufactureVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The patent substitutes approximate computational methods with rigorous analytical solutions derived from Gaussian Cox process theory. The analytical framework provides mathematically guaranteed properties and exact formulations, ensuring that estimated values are reliable and cannot be incorrectly adopted as correct ones.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

3Measurement precision

If analytical estimation methods are used, then accuracy is improved, but the complexity of the estimation process increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveestimation accuracyVSAvoidestimation process complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent transforms the complex estimation problem into a more manageable form by changing the parameterization approach. It uses the properties of Gaussian Cox processes to reformulate the rate function estimation in terms of kernel functions and covariance structures, which simplifies the analytical computation while maintaining high accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

4Productivity

If the variational Bayesian method is applied, then the estimation can be performed, but the magnitude of errors cannot be quantitatively evaluated

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveestimation capabilityVSAvoiderror information
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSLoss of information

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces the variational Bayesian approximation with an analytical Gaussian Cox process framework that provides exact expressions for both the rate function and its uncertainty. This substitution enables quantitative evaluation of estimation errors through the inherent probabilistic structure of the analytical solution.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Data Source

PatentUS20230205841A1Estimation apparatus, estimation system, estimation method and program
Publication Date: 2023.06.29 NT T INC
  • US20230205841A1 patent drawing
  • US20230205841A1 patent drawing
  • US20230205841A1 patent drawing

AI summary

An estimation apparatus includes a memory; and a processor configured to execute: taking a set of observation points representing events observed in a space region of a predetermined dimensionality in an observation, an observation count representing the number of times the observation is performed, a first function satisfying a predetermined condition, and a parameter of the first function as inputs; and analytically estimating a rate function for obtaining occurrence rates of the events in the space region.