Geographic Normalization Metrics for Vehicle Market Prediction

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current methods for analyzing the vehicle marketplace rely on outdated distance-based metrics that fail to account for geography and population density, leading to inaccurate predictions and noise in market indicators such as demand, conversion rates, and close rates due to varying behavioral patterns across different regions.

Innovation Solution

The development of normalization metrics that account for geography and population density, allowing for the determination of spatial behavioral patterns of consumers and dealers, which are then used to compute performance metrics like close rates and assign geographic zones to dealers, enabling real-time data presentation and analysis.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Device complexity

If distance-based metrics are used for analyzing vehicle marketplace, then analysis can be performed using simple geographic distance, but prediction accuracy deteriorates due to varying behavioral patterns across different regions

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveanalysis method simplicityVSAvoidprediction accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Device complexityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies local quality by creating geographically-specific normalization metrics that account for regional differences in population density, dealer density, and consumer behavior patterns. Instead of using a single uniform distance-based metric nationwide, the system divides the market into different geographic zones (urban, suburban, rural) and applies region-specific normalization factors to close rates and other performance indicators, thereby improving prediction accuracy while maintaining analytical simplicity

Inventive Principle:
Principle #3Local quality

Solution Approach 2:

The patent changes parameters by introducing normalization metrics that adjust raw distance-based data according to geographic characteristics. The system transforms simple distance measurements into normalized performance indicators by applying correction factors based on population density, dealer density, and historical close rates specific to each geographic region,ไปŽ่€Œ converting the simplistic distance metric into a more accurate predictive tool

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

2Productivity

If nationwide distance brackets are used for performance indicators, then data can be aggregated uniformly across the nation, but noise increases due to substantial variability in local market conditions

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedata aggregation efficiencyVSAvoidsignal-to-noise ratio
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies segmentation by dividing the nationwide market into distinct geographic zones (urban, suburban, rural) and calculating separate normalization metrics for each segment. This allows the system to maintain efficient data aggregation at the national level while simultaneously preserving local market characteristics through zone-specific normalization factors, thereby reducing noise from regional variability

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The patent introduces geographic normalization metrics as an intermediary layer between raw distance-based data and final performance indicators. These normalization factors act as mediators that adjust the relationship between distance and close rates based on regional characteristics, filtering out noise from local market variability while preserving the underlying trends

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

3Ease of operation

If uniform distance brackets are applied to all dealers, then consistent analysis methodology can be used nationwide, but local behavioral patterns are not captured leading to poor predictions

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveanalysis methodology consistencyVSAvoidprediction reliability
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of operationVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies local quality by maintaining a consistent analytical framework nationwide while incorporating region-specific normalization metrics. The system uses the same basic methodology (distance brackets, close rate calculations) across all dealers, ensuring ease of operation and consistency, but enhances local accuracy by applying geographic-specific normalization factors that account for urban versus rural consumer behavior patterns

Inventive Principle:
Principle #3Local quality

Solution Approach 2:

The patent achieves universality by creating a multi-functional analysis system that operates at multiple levels: it provides consistent nationwide aggregation for high-level trends while simultaneously delivering localized normalization for individual dealer performance. The same platform serves both national and local analytical needs through its hierarchical approach to geographic normalization

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

Data Source

PatentUS12079830B2System and method for determination and use of spatial and geography based metrics in a network of distributed computer systems
Publication Date: 2024.09.03 TRUECAR INC
  • US12079830B2 patent drawing
  • US12079830B2 patent drawing
  • US12079830B2 patent drawing

AI summary

Embodiments of vehicle data systems for use in distributed computer network are disclosed. Particular embodiments may determine and enhance vehicle data from various data sources distributed across the computer network, and utilize the enhanced vehicle data in the determination of normalization metrics that account for geography and population density or spatial behavioral patterns. Embodiments may utilize these normalization metrics to assign zone labels to geographic areas and present representations of the geographic areas based on the normalization metrics across the distributed computer network.