Geospatial Forecasting for Cell Site Earnings

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Solution Overview

Problem

Deploying and maintaining communication networks is costly, and attributing network revenues across individual equipment pieces is challenging, especially when forecasting potential earnings for new network access points.

Innovation Solution

A method that uses geospatial features of existing cell sites to train prediction models, estimating the earning value of new cell sites by applying these features as inputs, and identifying geospatial categories within candidate sites based on earning values and scaling factors to determine predicted earning values.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If network revenues are attributed across individual equipment pieces, then revenue attribution accuracy improves, but system complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improverevenue attribution accuracyVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent introduces geospatial features as an intermediary layer between network equipment and revenue attribution. Instead of directly tracking revenues to individual equipment pieces, the system uses geospatial characteristics (location, coverage area, demographic data) as mediators to estimate and attribute revenues, simplifying the overall system while maintaining attribution accuracy

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

Solution Approach 2:

The system creates geospatial models and predictions that replicate the revenue-generating potential of cell sites without requiring direct measurement of actual revenues. These geospatial copies serve as proxies for revenue attribution, reducing the need for complex direct tracking mechanisms

Inventive Principle:
Principle #26Copying

2Measurement precision

If geospatial features are used to predict earning values, then forecasting accuracy improves, but data processing complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveforecasting accuracyVSAvoiddata processing complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system pre-calculates and stores geospatial features for cell sites before revenue attribution is needed. Geospatial characteristics such as location data, coverage metrics, and demographic information are computed in advance and stored, eliminating the need for complex real-time processing during revenue forecasting

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The patent transforms complex geospatial data into standardized parameters and features that can be easily processed by prediction models. By converting raw geospatial information into meaningful metrics (e.g., population density, average income by location, coverage area), the system maintains high forecasting accuracy while reducing processing complexity

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

3Reliability

If detailed geospatial analysis is performed on candidate cell sites, then deployment decision quality improves, but computational resources required increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedeployment decision qualityVSAvoidcomputational resources
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSUse of energy by moving object

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs geospatial analysis at different levels of detail depending on the deployment stage. For initial screening of candidate cell sites, only key geospatial parameters are analyzed, while detailed analysis is reserved for sites that pass preliminary evaluation. This partial approach reduces overall computational resources while maintaining decision quality

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

Solution Approach 2:

The patent applies different levels of geospatial analysis to different candidate locations based on their specific characteristics and deployment priorities. High-value or complex deployment sites receive more detailed analysis, while standard locations receive streamlined assessment, optimizing computational resource allocation across the network

Inventive Principle:
Principle #3Local quality

Data Source

PatentUS11997508B2Geospatial-based forecasting for access point deployments
Publication Date: 2024.05.28 AT&T INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY I L P
  • US11997508B2 patent drawing
  • US11997508B2 patent drawing
  • US11997508B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A processing system may obtain usage volume information for endpoint devices for at least one cell site of a cellular network, determine at least one earning value of the at least one cell site based upon a summation of an earning metric of each of the endpoint devices for the at least one cell site, the earning metric comprising for each of the endpoint devices in a given time period: a total earning for the cellular network from the endpoint device times a ratio of the usage volume via the at least one cell site divided by the total usage volume via the cellular network, train a prediction model to predict an earning value of a new cell site, based upon geospatial features of the at least one cell site as predictor factors, and determine a predicted earning value of the new cell site via the prediction model.