Goal Seek Analysis Using Combined Normal and Abnormal Status Models

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Solution Overview

Problem

Machine learning models built using both normal and abnormal status data records face reduced accuracy when attempting to return a system from an abnormal status to normal, as they are partially trained on incorrect data types, leading to ineffective goal seek analysis.

Innovation Solution

A combination model is created by building separate normal and abnormal status models and computing time-sequenced coefficient combinations, which are then used for goal seek analysis to adjust influential effect values and improve accuracy in returning the system to a normal status.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Adaptability or versatility

If a single machine learning model is built using both normal and abnormal status data records, then the model can handle both normal and abnormal situations, but the accuracy is reduced because the model is partially trained on incorrect data types

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemodel adaptabilityVSAvoidgoal seek analysis accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent divides the single machine learning model into two separate models: a normal status model trained only on normal status data records and an abnormal status model trained only on abnormal status data records. This segmentation allows each model to specialize in its specific data type, improving accuracy while maintaining adaptability through dynamic model selection based on current system status.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

2Measurement precision

If separate normal and abnormal status models are built, then the accuracy of goal seek analysis improves, but the device complexity increases due to maintaining multiple models

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvegoal seek analysis accuracyVSAvoidmodel management complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent combines the normal status model and abnormal status model into a unified combination model that dynamically integrates both models based on current system status. This merging approach maintains the accuracy benefits of separate specialized models while reducing complexity by providing a single interface for goal seek analysis operations.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #5Merging (Combining)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent implements dynamic model selection and coefficient adjustment based on real-time system status monitoring. The combination model adapts its composition and parameters dynamically, switching between normal and abnormal status models as needed, which automates model management and reduces operational complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

3Measurement precision

If time-sequenced coefficient combinations are computed and applied, then the accuracy in returning system to normal status improves, but the computation time and processing complexity increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvestatus recovery accuracyVSAvoidcomputation time
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The patent pre-computes and stores optimal coefficient combinations for transitioning between different system statuses during the model training phase. These pre-computed coefficients are then directly applied during runtime goal seek analysis, eliminating the need for complex real-time optimization calculations and significantly reducing computation time while maintaining high accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Data Source

PatentUS11971796B2Goal seek analysis based on status models
Publication Date: 2024.04.30 INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINE CORPORATION
  • US11971796B2 patent drawing
  • US11971796B2 patent drawing
  • US11971796B2 patent drawing

AI summary

An approach is provided in which the approach builds a combination model that includes a normal status model and an abnormal status model. The normal status model is built from a set of time-sequenced normal status records and the abnormal status model is built from a set of time-sequenced abnormal status records. The approach computes a set of time-sequenced coefficient combination values of the normal status model and the abnormal status model based on applying a set of fitting coefficient characteristics to the normal status model and the abnormal status model. The approach performs goal seek analysis on a system using the combination model and the set of time-sequenced coefficient combination values.