Dynamic Grid Island Event Localization at Component Level

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current predictive maintenance applications for complex networks, such as electrical grids, struggle to accurately identify the specific components causing interruptions, leading to inefficient response and control, especially during dynamic changes like islanding and remerging events.

Innovation Solution

A machine learning latent variable model is employed to disaggregate network events, allowing for the precise assignment of interruptions to individual components and predicting future behavior by using probabilistic modeling and iterative probability updates.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If current predictive maintenance applications are used, then interruption events can be assigned to a particular region of the grid, but the specific component causing the interruption cannot be identified

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveevent localization precisionVSAvoidpredictive maintenance application complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments the network into dynamically changing islands and further segments each island into individual components. The predictive maintenance application separately models island-level events and component-level events, allowing precise localization by combining both levels of analysis rather than treating the entire network as a single region.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The patent introduces an intermediary probabilistic model that connects island-level observations to component-level causes. This model acts as a mediator that translates regional event data into specific component assignments through probability propagation, enabling precise localization without requiring direct sensors on every component.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

2Adaptability or versatility

If simple logic is used for predictive maintenance, then interruption events can be detected, but the logic becomes insufficient as network complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvepredictive maintenance logic adaptabilityVSAvoidnetwork complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent makes the predictive maintenance logic dynamic by allowing the network topology to change over time through island formation and dissolution. The probabilistic models are updated iteratively as islands form and merge, enabling the system to adapt to changing network configurations rather than relying on static logic.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

Solution Approach 2:

The patent changes the parameters of the predictive maintenance logic from fixed logical rules to probabilistic parameters that can be updated based on observed events. The model uses probability distributions for component failures and updates these parameters as new information becomes available, allowing the logic to adapt to network complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

3Productivity

If region-level event assignment is used, then the system can handle simple network configurations, but response efficiency decreases for complex networks with dynamic islanding

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveresponse efficiencyVSAvoidcomponent-level event information
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSLoss of information

Solution Approach 1:

The patent adds another dimension to event assignment by operating at two levels simultaneously: island-level and component-level. This dimensional expansion allows the system to maintain region-level overview while also capturing component-specific details, preventing information loss and improving response efficiency for complex networks.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #17Another dimension (Dimensionality change)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent implements feedback mechanisms where component-level probability assignments are updated based on island-level event observations, and vice versa. This bidirectional feedback ensures that information is not lost at either level but rather integrated to improve overall response efficiency and accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Data Source

PatentUS11777813B2Systems and methods for event assignment of dynamically changing islands
Publication Date: 2023.10.03 C3 AI INC
  • US11777813B2 patent drawing
  • US11777813B2 patent drawing
  • US11777813B2 patent drawing

AI summary

The present disclosure provides systems and methods that may advantageously apply machine learning to detect and ascribe network interruptions to specific components or nodes within the network. In an aspect, the present disclosure provides a computer-implemented method comprising: mapping a network comprising a plurality of islands that are capable of dynamically changing by splitting and/or merging of one or more islands, wherein the plurality of islands comprises a plurality of individual components; and detecting and localizing one or more local events at an individual component level as well as at an island level using a disaggregation model.