Inquiry-Based Adaptive Resource Prediction

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current predictive systems for resource utilization rely on historic transactions, failing to account for abstract interest or inquiries that do not lead to immediate resource utilization, resulting in inaccurate future utilization predictions.

Innovation Solution

A method that predicts future resource utilization by recording time-based patterns of inquiries and historic actual utilization, decoupling inquiries from actual usage, and considering external factors, allowing for adaptable predictions without relying on historic transactions or reservations.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If predictive systems rely on historic transactions to forecast resource utilization, then the prediction process is simple and straightforward, but the prediction accuracy deteriorates because abstract interest and inquiries that do not lead to immediate utilization are not captured

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction accuracyVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system segments the prediction process into distinct components: collecting actual utilization data, collecting inquiry data, analyzing time-based patterns, and integrating multiple data sources. This segmentation allows the system to handle complex prediction requirements while maintaining manageable system architecture.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The system introduces inquiry data as an intermediary element between actual transactions and prediction outcomes. By capturing and analyzing inquiry patterns, the system gains insight into abstract interest that precedes actual resource utilization, thereby improving prediction accuracy without directly modifying the core transaction processing.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

2Adaptability or versatility

If the system only considers historic actual transactions, then the data processing is straightforward, but the adaptability to changing conditions deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveadaptability to changing conditionsVSAvoiddata processing complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system implements dynamic adaptability by continuously collecting and analyzing both actual utilization data and inquiry data over time. The time-based pattern analysis allows the system to adapt to changing conditions and trends, making predictions that reflect current dynamics rather than relying solely on static historic transaction data.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

Solution Approach 2:

The system performs preliminary actions by capturing inquiry data before actual transactions occur. This allows the system to anticipate future resource utilization based on expressed interest and intent, enabling proactive adaptation to changing conditions before they manifest in actual transactions.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

3Loss of information

If inquiries are directly tied to actual resource utilization, then the prediction model is simple, but the ability to capture abstract interest deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveinformation about abstract interestVSAvoidprediction model complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Loss of informationVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system extracts inquiry data as a separate information stream independent of actual resource utilization transactions. By taking out the inquiry component and analyzing it separately through time-based pattern recognition, the system captures abstract interest without being constrained by the simplicity requirements of direct transaction-based models.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

Data Source

PatentUS10142260B2Inquiry-based adaptive prediction
Publication Date: 2018.11.27 INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINE CORPORATION
  • US10142260B2 patent drawing
  • US10142260B2 patent drawing
  • US10142260B2 patent drawing

AI summary

Predicting future utilization of a resource. The predicting future utilization of a resource may include receiving inquiries for a potential future utilization of the resource for different future points in time, recording time-based patterns of the received inquiries, recording a historic actual utilization value of the resource, and determining a future utilization of the resource using the recorded time-based patterns of the received inquiries, the recorded historic actual utilization value of the resource and a current inquiry pattern of the resource.