Lag Correlation Analysis for Service Performance Leading Indicators

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Solution Overview

Problem

IT administrators face challenges in identifying leading indicators of service performance degradation due to the large number of metrics collected, which often require manual threshold setting and rule establishment to detect system performance issues effectively.

Innovation Solution

A computer-implemented method that identifies service metrics, determines abnormalities in infrastructure metrics within a time window, calculates the degree of lag correlation, and selects candidate infrastructure metrics with significant correlation to provide early warnings of service performance degradation.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If manual threshold setting and rule establishment are used to detect system performance degradation, then detection accuracy may be improved, but operational complexity and time consumption increase significantly

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedetection accuracyVSAvoidoperational complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSEase of operation

Solution Approach 1:

The system automatically performs threshold setting and rule establishment by analyzing historical metric data and identifying correlations between infrastructure metrics and service metrics. The automated anomaly detection mechanism eliminates the need for manual configuration while maintaining high detection accuracy through self-learning from past performance patterns.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

Solution Approach 2:

The system dynamically adjusts detection parameters and thresholds based on learned patterns from historical data rather than using fixed manual settings. By changing parameters automatically based on data analysis, the system achieves both high detection accuracy and operational simplicity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

2Reliability

If all collected metrics are monitored for service performance degradation, then detection completeness is improved, but processing complexity and computational resources increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedetection completenessVSAvoidprocessing complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system extracts and focuses only on the most relevant infrastructure metrics that have proven correlations with service performance degradation. By taking out and prioritizing key metrics rather than monitoring all metrics equally, the system maintains detection completeness while reducing processing complexity and computational overhead.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

Solution Approach 2:

The system segments metrics into different categories and prioritizes analysis of infrastructure metrics that show strong lag correlation with service metrics. This segmentation allows comprehensive monitoring while managing complexity by focusing computational resources on the most critical metric relationships.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

3Extent of automation

If traditional monitoring methods are used without lag correlation analysis, then implementation simplicity is maintained, but ability to provide early warnings is reduced

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveautomation levelVSAvoidwarning lead time
Core Design Contradiction:
Extent of automationVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary analysis of lag correlations between infrastructure metrics and service metrics to identify leading indicators. By understanding the temporal relationships and time lags between different metric types, the system can provide early warnings before service degradation actually occurs, maintaining automation while reducing time loss.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Data Source

PatentUS9195563B2Use of metrics selected based on lag correlation to provide leading indicators of service performance degradation
Publication Date: 2015.11.24 BMC HELIX INC
  • US9195563B2 patent drawing
  • US9195563B2 patent drawing
  • US9195563B2 patent drawing

AI summary

The present description refers to a computer implemented method, computer program product, and computer system for identifying a service metric associated with a service, identifying one or more abnormalities of one or more infrastructure metrics that occur within a time window around an abnormality of the service metric, determining a set of candidate infrastructure metrics for the service metric based on how many times an abnormality of an infrastructure metric occurred within a time window around an abnormality of the service metric, determining a degree of lag correlation for each candidate infrastructure metric with respect to the service metric, selecting one or more candidate infrastructure metrics having a degree of lag correlation that exceeds a threshold to be a leading indicator infrastructure metric for the service metric, and providing a performance degradation warning for the service when an abnormality of one of the leading indicator infrastructure metrics is detected.