LEO Satellite Monitoring for Forest Fire Risk Prediction

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing systems struggle to accurately predict and mitigate forest fires by identifying areas with high inflammable material accumulation and determining optimal monitoring times, especially in large forested regions, due to limitations in satellite positioning and image analysis.

Innovation Solution

A system utilizing low earth orbit (LEO) satellites to capture historical and live satellite images, adapt satellite location and configuration, and analyze image changes to predict fire propagation risk, creating heat maps and executing mitigation actions such as robotic debris removal or cloud seeding.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Area of stationary object

If LEO satellites are used to monitor large forested regions, then the coverage area is improved, but the positioning accuracy and monitoring frequency deteriorate due to satellite orbital constraints

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemonitoring coverage areaVSAvoidsatellite positioning accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Area of stationary objectVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The system divides the large forested region into multiple geographical areas with defined boundaries. Each area is monitored by specific satellite passes, allowing the system to manage large coverage areas while maintaining positioning accuracy through segmented, targeted observation rather than attempting to monitor the entire region uniformly.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The system performs preliminary identification of geographical areas and their boundaries before fire season begins. Historical satellite images are analyzed in advance to establish baseline conditions and predict fire-prone areas, enabling proactive positioning of satellite monitoring resources during critical periods.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

2Measurement precision

If historical satellite images are analyzed to identify fire risks, then the prediction accuracy is improved, but the processing time and computational resources worsen

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvefire prediction accuracyVSAvoidimage processing time
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system extracts only the essential features from historical satellite images that are relevant to fire risk assessment, such as inflammable material accumulation patterns and geographical boundary characteristics. By extracting only critical information rather than processing complete image datasets, the system maintains prediction accuracy while reducing computational time and resource requirements.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

Solution Approach 2:

The system applies partial analysis to historical images by focusing computation on identified fire-prone areas rather than processing entire satellite imagery uniformly. This selective approach processes only the portions of images that contain relevant fire risk indicators, significantly reducing overall processing time while maintaining accuracy in critical zones.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

3Measurement precision

If satellite location is adapted to monitor specific geographical areas during fire season, then the monitoring precision is improved, but the system complexity worsens due to orbital adjustment requirements

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemonitoring precisionVSAvoidsatellite positioning system complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system dynamically adjusts satellite monitoring locations based on identified fire risks and seasonal conditions. Rather than using fixed satellite positions, the system adapts which satellites monitor which geographical areas during different time periods, particularly intensifying monitoring precision in high-risk zones during fire season while managing operational complexity through automated scheduling algorithms.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

4Speed

If live satellite images are captured and compared with historical images, then the detection speed is improved, but the data processing requirements worsen

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvefire detection speedVSAvoiddata processing volume
Core Design Contradiction:
SpeedVSQuantity of substance

Solution Approach 1:

The system applies different processing qualities to different regions by comparing live satellite images with historical images primarily in identified fire-prone areas rather than uniformly across entire monitored regions. This localized comparison approach accelerates fire detection speed in critical zones while reducing overall data processing volume by excluding low-risk areas from intensive analysis.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #3Local quality

Data Source

PatentUS12608930B2Leo satellite-based forest fire prediction and mitigation
Publication Date: 2026.04.21 INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINE CORPORATION
  • US12608930B2 patent drawing
  • US12608930B2 patent drawing
  • US12608930B2 patent drawing

AI summary

An embodiment for predicting and mitigating forest fires based on low earth orbit (LEO) satellites is provided. The embodiment may include receiving historical LEO satellite images of a forested region. The embodiment may also include identifying a geographical area and a boundary of the geographical area. The embodiment may further include identifying a time range of a fire season in the geographical area. The embodiment may also include in response to determining at least one LEO satellite is not positioned within the boundary of the geographical area during the time range, adapting a location of the at least one LEO satellite to be within the boundary during the time range. The embodiment may further include capturing live LEO satellite images of inflammable material in the geographical area. The embodiment may also include identifying a range of changes in the inflammable material.