Linear Reach Forecaster for Predictive Content Schedule Optimization

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing linear content delivery mechanisms are reactive and lack predictive capabilities, leading to suboptimal utilization of advertising resources and difficulty in estimating the number of households that will be reached before content delivery.

Innovation Solution

The use of machine learning models to predict the effectiveness of a proposed linear content schedule, optimizing the delivery of linear content by maximizing the reach of households, and updating the schedule based on predicted effectiveness.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If traditional linear content delivery mechanisms are used, then the system is simple to operate, but the system lacks predictive capabilities and leads to suboptimal utilization of advertising resources

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvepredictive capabilityVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary actions by predicting content schedule effectiveness before actual delivery using machine learning models. The linear reach forecaster estimates reach metrics and delivers predictions in advance, allowing optimization of content schedules before resources are committed, thus resolving the contradiction between adding predictive capability and maintaining system simplicity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

2Productivity

If machine learning models are introduced to predict content schedule effectiveness, then the reach and effectiveness of content delivery is improved, but the device complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecontent delivery effectivenessVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent introduces a linear reach forecaster as an intermediary component that sits between the content scheduling system and the delivery mechanism. This forecaster uses machine learning models to predict effectiveness metrics, enabling improved content delivery productivity while isolating the complexity of ML models within a dedicated module, thus managing overall system complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

3Quantity of substance

If the number of delivery slots is increased to achieve target impressions, then the reach of content delivery is improved, but the loss of time for scheduling and optimization increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvenumber of impressionsVSAvoidscheduling time
Core Design Contradiction:
Quantity of substanceVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary prediction of reach metrics and optimal slot allocation before finalizing the content schedule. By using machine learning models to forecast effectiveness, the system can determine the required number of delivery slots in advance, reducing iterative scheduling time and enabling faster deployment of content schedules that meet target impression goals.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Data Source

PatentUS20250097497A1Content delivery optimization based on predicted effectiveness of linear content schedule
Publication Date: 2025.03.20 ROKU INC
  • US20250097497A1 patent drawing
  • US20250097497A1 patent drawing
  • US20250097497A1 patent drawing

AI summary

Disclosed herein are system, apparatus, article of manufacture, method and/or computer program product embodiments, and/or combinations and sub-combinations thereof, for determining an number of slots for achieving a desired reach specified in a media content delivery schedule. The system, apparatus, article of manufacture, method, and/or computer program product aspects is designed with a simulation framework tuned to predict an estimate the needed number of slots based on a reach specified in the delivery schedule.