Machine Failure Forecasting Using Sensor Feature Selection

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing monitoring systems for industrial machines are inefficient in predicting failures, often requiring specialized operators, relying on incomplete data analysis, and leading to premature maintenance and significant downtime, resulting in lost revenue and wasted resources.

Innovation Solution

A method and system that utilize raw sensory inputs from machines to generate data features, select indicative features associated with failures, and apply machine learning models to predict forthcoming machine failures, thereby reducing downtime and resource wastage.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If existing monitoring systems use predetermined rules and periodic testing, then failures can be detected after they occur, but premature maintenance is triggered and computing resources are wasted processing unused data

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvefailure detection accuracyVSAvoidpremature maintenance timing
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary analysis of sensor data streams to identify trends and patterns that precede failures. By continuously analyzing data in real-time rather than through periodic testing, the system detects early signs of degradation and predicts failures before they occur, enabling maintenance to be scheduled at the optimal time rather than prematurely or too late.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system dynamically adjusts monitoring parameters and thresholds based on actual machine behavior and historical data. Instead of using fixed predetermined rules, the system adapts its analysis parameters to distinguish between normal variations and true failure indicators, reducing false alarms and premature maintenance triggers while maintaining high detection accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

2Ease of manufacture

If existing solutions rely on predetermined rule sets provided by engineers, then implementation is straightforward, but only some collected data is used resulting in wasted computing resources

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvesystem implementation simplicityVSAvoidcomputing resource waste
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of manufactureVSLoss of energy

Solution Approach 1:

The system automatically selects and weights sensor data streams based on their relevance to failure prediction, eliminating the need for engineers to manually configure which data to use. The machine learning model autonomously determines which sensors and data parameters are most indicative of upcoming failures, thereby utilizing computing resources efficiently by processing only the most relevant data while maintaining ease of deployment.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

Solution Approach 2:

The system collects comprehensive data from all sensors but applies intelligent filtering and prioritization to focus computational resources on the most critical data streams. By processing all available data initially and then selectively deepening analysis only on high-priority indicators, the system achieves high prediction accuracy without wasting resources on analyzing all data equally.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

3Measurement precision

If existing monitoring systems require specialized operators and dedicated testing equipment, then accurate monitoring can be achieved, but operational complexity and costs increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemonitoring accuracyVSAvoidsystem operational complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system replaces specialized testing equipment and human operator analysis with machine learning models that automatically analyze sensor data. The ML algorithms perform the complex pattern recognition and failure prediction functions previously requiring specialized equipment and trained operators, thereby maintaining high measurement precision while dramatically reducing operational complexity and eliminating the need for dedicated testing hardware.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The system uses standard sensors already present on modern machines rather than requiring dedicated specialized testing equipment. The machine learning platform serves multiple functions including data collection, analysis, prediction, and alerting, replacing multiple specialized tools and expert operators with a single multi-functional system that maintains high accuracy while reducing complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

4Device complexity

If existing solutions determine failures only after they occur, then simple monitoring can be maintained, but significant downtime and lost revenue result

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemonitoring system complexityVSAvoidmachine downtime duration
Core Design Contradiction:
Device complexityVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system continuously analyzes sensor data to detect early signs of failure before they manifest as actual machine breakdowns. By identifying degradation trends, anomaly patterns, and precursor indicators in real-time, the system provides advance warning that enables proactive maintenance scheduling, thereby preventing unplanned downtime while maintaining relatively simple monitoring infrastructure through automated analysis.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Data Source

PatentUS11442444B2System and method for forecasting industrial machine failures
Publication Date: 2022.09.13 AB SKF SKF PATENT DEPARTMENT
  • US11442444B2 patent drawing
  • US11442444B2 patent drawing
  • US11442444B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A system and method for forecasting failures in industrial machines, including: receiving raw sensory inputs collected from at least one machine; generating a plurality of data features based on the raw sensory inputs; selecting from the plurality of data features a plurality of indicative data features, wherein the selection is based on a distribution of the plurality of indicative data features that determines an association between the plurality of indicative data features and a machine failure; selecting, based on the plurality of indicative data features, a machine learning model; applying the selected machine learning model to the plurality of indicative data features; and determining a probability for a forthcoming machine failure.