Machine-Learning Condition Prediction for Incomplete Temporal Data

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Solution Overview

Problem

Conventional data analysis methods struggle with incomplete or delayed datasets, failing to capture nuanced temporal dependencies and discern meaningful patterns, leading to suboptimal predictive performance and inaccurate predictions.

Innovation Solution

A machine-learning model is trained to predict the condition of an entity by deriving features from historical data across multiple sources, using supervised deep-learning algorithms to handle incomplete datasets and continuously refine predictive accuracy.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If conventional data analysis methods are used, then the system is simple to implement, but the predictive accuracy deteriorates due to inability to capture temporal dependencies and patterns in incomplete datasets

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvepredictive accuracyVSAvoidmodel complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies preliminary action by pre-processing historical data to generate synthetic temporal patterns and pre-training the machine learning model with simulated incomplete datasets. This prepares the model in advance to handle the temporal dependencies and sporadic data appearances that characterize the prediction task, thereby improving predictive accuracy without requiring complex real-time processing.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The patent implements dynamics by using a machine learning model that dynamically adapts to varying data completeness and temporal patterns. The model adjusts its predictions based on the actual appearance and disappearance of data points over time, rather than relying on static assumptions about data availability. This dynamic approach captures temporal dependencies while maintaining reasonable model complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

2Adaptability or versatility

If static models are used, then the model complexity is low, but the adaptability deteriorates due to inability to accommodate dynamic nature of incomplete data inputs

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveadaptability to incomplete dataVSAvoidmodel complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent employs dynamics by designing a machine learning model that dynamically adjusts to the varying completeness and timing of data inputs. The model learns from historical patterns of data appearance and disappearance, enabling it to adapt its predictions based on the actual dynamic nature of the incoming data rather than assuming static data availability.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

Solution Approach 2:

The patent applies parameter changes by modifying the model's internal parameters and data representation based on the observed dynamics of incomplete datasets. The system adjusts prediction parameters according to the temporal patterns and completeness levels of incoming data, thereby achieving high adaptability to varying data conditions while managing model complexity through parameter optimization rather than structural complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

3Productivity

If traditional methodologies are used, then the system is easy to operate, but the scalability deteriorates due to inability to handle complexity in identifying patterns amidst data variability

Engineering Contradiction:
ImprovescalabilityVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies preliminary action by pre-processing and structuring historical data into standardized formats with synthetic temporal patterns before training the machine learning model. This preliminary organization of data enables the system to scale efficiently to new datasets and entities, as the model learns from pre-structured patterns rather than raw unprocessed data, thereby improving scalability while managing system complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The patent implements universality by designing a machine learning model that can handle multiple types of incomplete data patterns and temporal dependencies through a unified approach. The model serves multiple functions: capturing temporal patterns, handling sporadic data appearances, and making predictions across different entities and contexts. This multi-functional design enables scalability without proportionally increasing system complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

Data Source

PatentUS20250371411A1Systems and methods for predicting condition of an entity via machine-learning
Publication Date: 2025.12.04 OPTUM INC
  • US20250371411A1 patent drawing
  • US20250371411A1 patent drawing
  • US20250371411A1 patent drawing

AI summary

Systems and methods are disclosed for training a machine-learning model to predict and manage a condition of an entity. The method includes receiving historical data associated with a target entity from a plurality of data sources; deriving feature(s) from the historical data; determining a condition of the target entity by applying the feature(s) to a machine-learning model trained by: receiving a plurality of datasets associated with each entity of a plurality of entities; determining a specific condition associated with each entity based on the plurality of datasets; generating an identifier for each entity based on the determined specific condition; deriving training feature(s) for each entity from historical training data associated with the entity; and inputting the identifier and the training feature(s) for each entity to the machine-learning model to learn associations between the identifiers and the training feature(s) associated with the plurality of entities.