Machine Learning Innovation Prediction System
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Solution Overview
Problem
Current methods lack the ability to predict future innovations at the company level due to the unpredictability and complexity of innovation processes, making it difficult for companies and investors to effectively manage R&D and investment portfolios.
Innovation Solution
A machine learning-based method that collects and analyzes patent data, company financial data, and performance data to predict future innovations using classification into feature sets and machine learning techniques such as logistic regression, naive Bayes, neural networks, and deep belief networks.
Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles
Engineering Contradiction Analysis
1Ease of manufacture
If traditional statistical methods are used to analyze innovation data, then the analysis process is simple and easy to implement, but the methods cannot effectively handle large, noisy, and complex data
Solution Approach 1:
The patent replaces traditional statistical methods with machine learning techniques including neural networks, support vector machines, and random forests. This substitution enables the system to effectively process large, noisy, and complex patent data while improving prediction accuracy for future innovations, resolving the contradiction between implementation simplicity and prediction reliability.
2Measurement precision
If machine learning techniques are applied to predict future innovations, then prediction accuracy is improved, but the complexity of the analysis system increases
Solution Approach 1:
The patent segments the complex machine learning system into distinct functional modules: data collection module, data preprocessing module, feature extraction module, model training module, and prediction module. This segmentation manages system complexity by organizing multiple machine learning algorithms and processing steps into manageable, modular components while maintaining high prediction accuracy.
3Reliability
If comprehensive patent data and big data are collected for analysis, then the prediction capability is enhanced, but the amount of data to be processed increases
Solution Approach 1:
The patent extracts only the most relevant features from large volumes of patent data and big data, including patent citation networks, inventor collaboration patterns, and technological field classifications. This feature extraction process reduces the data volume that needs to be processed while maintaining or enhancing prediction capability by focusing on the most informative indicators of future innovation.
4Adaptability or versatility
If patent indicators and multiple data sources are integrated, then the prediction model becomes more comprehensive, but the difficulty of data processing increases
Solution Approach 1:
The patent implements a universal data processing framework that handles multiple data sources (patent data, financial data, scientific publications) and various feature types (quantitative metrics, textual information, network structures) through standardized preprocessing and feature extraction procedures. This multi-functional approach enables comprehensive prediction modeling while managing data processing difficulty through systematic, reusable processing pipelines.
Data Source
AI summary
Disclosed are a machine learning-based future innovation prediction method and a system therefor. The machine learning-based future innovation prediction method according to an embodiment of the present invention may comprise the steps of: collecting patent data for each of predetermined companies, data relating to research and development of each of the companies, and performance data during a predetermined period; classifying feature sets according to respective features by using each piece of the collected data; and predicting future innovation of a corresponding company on the basis of machine learning using the classified feature sets as inputs, wherein the collecting step includes collecting patent data including the number of claims, an assignee, the number of assignees, an inventor, the number of inventors, the number of backward citations, and the number of forward citations for each of registered patents during a predetermined period with respect to each of the companies.


