Machine Learning Intermittent Data Distribution Simulation

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing methods struggle to effectively analyze and manage intermittent data, which is characterized by sporadic and irregular patterns, making it difficult to determine data distributions and perform accurate demand projections, especially for inventory optimization of products with long usable life cycles.

Innovation Solution

A machine learning-based intermittent data processing system that smoothes and cleanses data, applies distribution fitting tests, employs bootstrapping techniques, and uses variability capping methodologies to identify optimal data distributions and calculate accurate demand projections, incorporating AI for decision-making and visualization.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If traditional statistical methods are used to analyze intermittent data, then the analysis process is simple, but the accuracy of demand projections is poor due to sporadic data patterns

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveaccuracy of demand projectionsVSAvoidcomplexity of analysis system
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces traditional mechanical statistical analysis methods with machine learning algorithms. Specifically, it uses ML models to identify data distributions and generate demand projections from intermittent data, substituting the manual statistical approach with an automated intelligent system that can handle sporadic patterns more effectively.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent introduces an intermediary layer between raw intermittent data and final demand projections. This intermediary consists of multiple processing stages including data smoothing, distribution identification, and simulation generation, which mediate the transformation of sporadic data into reliable forecasts.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

2Measurement precision

If extensive historical data is collected to improve projection accuracy, then the precision of demand forecasts increases, but the time and resources required for data collection and processing increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprecision of demand forecastsVSAvoidtime for data collection and processing
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The patent performs preliminary data smoothing and preprocessing operations on intermittent data before conducting full analysis. By pre-processing the sporadic data to identify and establish potential distribution patterns early in the process, it reduces the need for extensive historical data collection and accelerates the overall analysis timeline.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The patent uses simulation techniques that generate multiple hypothetical scenarios based on identified data distributions rather than requiring complete historical data for all possible scenarios. This partial action approach allows accurate projections with less historical data by focusing computational effort on the most relevant distribution patterns.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

3Measurement precision

If machine learning techniques are applied to intermittent data, then the accuracy of data distribution identification improves, but the computational complexity and processing time increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveaccuracy of distribution identificationVSAvoidcomputational processing power
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSPower

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments the complex task of intermittent data analysis into distinct modules: data smoothing, distribution fitting, simulation generation, and projection calculation. Each module handles a specific aspect of the analysis independently, reducing the computational burden on any single processing unit and enabling more accurate ML-based distribution identification through specialized algorithms.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The patent transforms intermittent data parameters through smoothing operations that convert sporadic data points into continuous distributions. By changing the parameter representation from discrete intermittent values to smoothed continuous distributions, it enables more efficient computational processing while maintaining or improving distribution identification accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

4Stability of the object's composition

If data smoothing operations are performed on intermittent data, then the continuity of data series is improved, but the original sporadic pattern information may be lost

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecontinuity of data seriesVSAvoidloss of sporadic pattern information
Core Design Contradiction:
Stability of the object's compositionVSLoss of information

Solution Approach 1:

The patent employs feedback mechanisms where the smoothed data is continuously compared against the original intermittent data to preserve critical sporadic patterns. The system uses the identified data distributions as feedback to guide the smoothing process, ensuring that while continuity is improved, the essential characteristics of the original sporadic demand patterns are retained and reflected in the final projections.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Data Source

PatentUS10956631B2Distribution selection and simulation of intermittent data using machine learning (ML)
Publication Date: 2021.03.23 ACCENTURE GLOBAL SOLUTIONS LTD
  • US10956631B2 patent drawing
  • US10956631B2 patent drawing
  • US10956631B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A machine learning (ML) based intermittent data processing system accesses a collection of intermittent data points, determines a data distribution associated with the collection and generates one or more calculated values based on the data distribution. A simulation can be employed to determine the accuracy of the calculated values based on which, the calculated values can be employed for further processing. The collection of intermittent data points is initially processed to determine if one or more of the data distribution identification, bootstrapping or variability capping techniques are to be applied in order to obtain the calculated values. The calculated values are used to generate visualizations and recommendations.