Machine Learning Prediction for Manufacturing Time and Cost

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Solution Overview

Problem

Manufacturing processes often rely on human experience, leading to inaccurate predictions and inconsistencies, and lack reliable objective tools for optimizing production times and costs, especially when dealing with digital models that vary over time or depend on exogenous variables.

Innovation Solution

A predictive system using regression machine learning models and multi-objective optimization to generate accurate and consistent predictions for manufacturing processes, trained with data from supply chain transactions, which includes features extraction from digital models and generates non-deterministic responses that comply with specific optimization conditions.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If human experience is used for predictions, then flexibility and adaptability are maintained, but accuracy and consistency deteriorate

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction accuracyVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces human-based mechanical estimation processes with automated machine learning models that process digital models and transaction data. The system substitutes human cognitive judgment with algorithmic predictions based on regression models trained on historical manufacturing transactions, thereby improving accuracy while removing the inconsistency inherent in human experience-based methods.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent introduces machine learning models as an intermediary between digital manufacturing models and production decisions. These models serve as a mediator that translates digital model features into predictive manufacturing metrics, bridging the gap between design data and production planning while maintaining objectivity and consistency.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

2Reliability

If standardized methodologies are implemented, then consistency is improved, but adaptability to unique cases worsens

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction consistencyVSAvoidflexibility
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSAdaptability or versatility

Solution Approach 1:

The patent implements dynamic prediction capabilities where the machine learning models adapt to different digital models and manufacturing scenarios. The system processes varying input features from different digital models and adjusts predictions based on the specific characteristics of each case, maintaining both consistency through standardized methodology and adaptability through feature-based differentiation.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

Solution Approach 2:

The patent applies local quality by extracting specific features from digital models that are relevant to particular manufacturing aspects. The system identifies and processes different feature sets based on the specific manufacturing context, allowing standardized methodologies to be applied locally to each unique case while maintaining overall consistency.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #3Local quality

3Productivity

If manual estimation processes are used, then ease of operation is maintained, but productivity and precision worsen

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction speedVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent implements self-service capabilities where the system automatically processes digital models and generates predictions without requiring manual intervention. The machine learning models autonomously extract features from digital models, apply trained algorithms, and produce predictions, thereby dramatically improving productivity while the automated nature handles the complexity internally.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

Solution Approach 2:

The patent uses digital models as copies of physical manufacturing objects to perform predictions. By working with digital representations rather than physical prototypes or manual measurements, the system accelerates the prediction process while the computational infrastructure manages the underlying complexity of processing these digital copies.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #26Copying

Data Source

PatentUS12189361B2Methods and apparatus for machine learning predictions of manufacturing processes
Publication Date: 2025.01.07 XOMETRY INC
  • US12189361B2 patent drawing
  • US12189361B2 patent drawing
  • US12189361B2 patent drawing

AI summary

The subject technology is related to methods and apparatus for training a set of regression machine learning models with a training set to produce a set of predictive values for a pending manufacturing request, the training set including data extracted from a set of manufacturing transactions submitted by a set of entities of a supply chain. A multi-objective optimization model is implemented to (1) receive an input including the set of predictive values and a set of features of a physical object, and (2) generate an output with a set of attributes associated with a manufacture of the physical object in response to receiving the input, the output complying with a multi-objective condition satisfied in the multi-objective optimization model.