Machine Learning Model Predicts Instrument Event Timing

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Solution Overview

Problem

Financial institutions face challenges in predicting the timing of events associated with instruments, such as checks or payments, which can lead to delayed transactions, resulting in overdrafts and increased resource consumption due to insufficient account balances.

Innovation Solution

A machine learning model-based system that identifies characteristics of recipients and predicts the timing of events like deposits or cashing, allowing for proactive notifications and balance adjustments to prevent overdrafts by determining if an account balance will reach a threshold.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If the system proactively manages account balances using machine learning predictions, then the reliability of transactions is improved, but the device complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvetransaction execution reliabilityVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary actions by predicting the timing of instrument events (deposits, cashing) before they occur. The machine learning model analyzes recipient characteristics and historical data to forecast when an instrument will be processed, allowing the system to proactively manage account balances and notify users in advance, preventing overdrafts before they happen.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system enables self-service by automatically monitoring account balances, predicting event timings, and sending notifications without requiring manual user intervention. The machine learning model continuously analyzes data and manages account health autonomously, reducing the need for users to manually track their account status or contact customer service.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

2Productivity

If the system uses machine learning models to predict event timing, then the productivity of transaction management is improved, but the use of energy increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvetransaction management efficiencyVSAvoidcomputational energy consumption
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSUse of energy by moving object

Solution Approach 1:

The system applies partial action by using machine learning models selectively rather than continuously. The model predicts event timing based on specific triggers (when an instrument is issued) and analyzes only relevant recipient characteristics and historical data needed for the prediction, rather than processing all possible data continuously. This reduces unnecessary computational energy consumption while maintaining high productivity in transaction management.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

3Loss of time

If the system monitors account balances proactively, then the loss of time for transaction failures is reduced, but the device complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvetime loss from declined transactionsVSAvoidmonitoring system complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Loss of timeVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system implements feedback by continuously monitoring account balances and comparing them against predicted event timings. When the balance approaches a threshold that could lead to an overdraft, the system sends notifications to the user and can automatically adjust account settings or alert relevant parties. This closed-loop feedback mechanism prevents transaction failures by providing timely warnings and enabling corrective actions before problems occur.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Data Source

PatentUS12147912B2Predicting a time of an event associated with an instrument using a machine learning model
Publication Date: 2024.11.19 CAPITAL ONE SERVICES LLC
  • US12147912B2 patent drawing
  • US12147912B2 patent drawing
  • US12147912B2 patent drawing

AI summary

In some implementations, a device may receive information indicating that an instrument has been provided by a user to a recipient. The instrument may be associated with a value, and the instrument may be designated for the recipient. The device may determine, using the machine learning model, a prediction of a time of an event associated with the instrument based on the recipient. The event associated with the instrument may result in a reduction of a balance of an account of the user. The device may transmit to another device of the user, a notification indicating the prediction of the time of the event associated with the instrument.