Machine Learning Network Performance Forecasting

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current telecommunications network planning and optimization rely heavily on legacy tools and methods, which fail to accurately predict cell performance due to varying factors like user location, traffic mix, and external interference, leading to inefficient resource allocation and potential service degradation.

Innovation Solution

A computer-implemented method using machine learning models to analyze historical performance data and baseline information, allowing for the prediction of key performance indicators (KPIs) in cellular networks, enabling proactive capacity planning and optimization by identifying unique breaking points and untapped capacity within the network.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If legacy tools and methods are used for network planning and optimization, then device complexity is reduced, but measurement precision of network performance prediction deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvenetwork performance prediction accuracyVSAvoidforecasting system complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

A machine learning model acts as an intermediary between historical performance data and future performance predictions. The model processes complex patterns in historical data that legacy tools cannot capture, providing accurate forecasts without requiring direct complex analysis of all network variables by operators.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

Solution Approach 2:

The system creates a virtual copy of network behavior through machine learning models that replicate historical performance patterns. This digital twin approach allows accurate prediction of future performance without physically testing or analyzing every possible network scenario, reducing the need for complex manual analysis tools.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #26Copying

2Measurement precision

If machine learning models are applied to predict KPIs, then measurement precision improves, but loss of time in data processing increases

Engineering Contradiction:
ImproveKPI prediction accuracyVSAvoiddata processing time
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary analysis by training machine learning models on historical performance data in advance. Once trained, the models can rapidly predict future KPIs without requiring real-time complex computations, thus reducing data processing time for actual forecasting while maintaining high accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

3Reliability

If historical performance data is analyzed using machine learning, then reliability of performance forecasts improves, but device complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveperformance forecast reliabilityVSAvoidcomputing system complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The machine learning model performs self-service by automatically learning patterns from historical data and generating predictions without requiring complex manual configuration or intervention. The system trains itself on available data and continuously improves its forecasting reliability while maintaining manageable operational complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

4Manufacturing precision

If baseline data is applied to model parameters, then manufacturing precision of performance predictions improves, but loss of information in data transformation increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction calculation precisionVSAvoiddata transformation information loss
Core Design Contradiction:
Manufacturing precisionVSLoss of information

Solution Approach 1:

The system uses feedback mechanisms where prediction results are compared against actual network performance. This feedback loop allows the model to refine its use of baseline data and model parameters, improving prediction precision while minimizing information loss by continuously adjusting to maintain data integrity throughout the transformation process.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Data Source

PatentUS9439081B1Systems and methods for network performance forecasting
Publication Date: 2016.09.06 OOKLA LLC
  • US9439081B1 patent drawing
  • US9439081B1 patent drawing
  • US9439081B1 patent drawing

AI summary

Untapped capacity and opportunities for immediate performance improvement can be brought to light in wireless networks through the use of new predictive analytics tools and processes. By knowing the specific breaking points in the network well in advance, network adjustments can be planned and implemented in time to preserve a good customer experience. To successfully manage rapidly rising traffic, network operators can adopt a performance-based approach to capacity planning and optimization. Predictive analytics tools and processes may allow a user to view current network conditions for one or more cells in a network. The tools and processes may also allow the user to view predicted network conditions on a chosen future date for one or more cells in the network.