Machine Learning Predictive Deviation and Remediation for Customer Churn

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Solution Overview

Problem

Retailers face challenges in predicting customer churn due to the untimeliness and inefficiency of existing methods, which fail to account for shopping patterns and rely on raw, unprocessed customer data, leading to missed opportunities for retaining loyal customers.

Innovation Solution

A machine learning system that models customer shopping patterns and behavior to predict deviations in customer spending, using a machine-learning predictor trained with transaction data and holistic inputs to identify potential churn points and assess the effectiveness of retention efforts, enabling early intervention and personalized promotions.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If traditional customer churn prediction methods are used, then customer data is analyzed, but predictions are untimely and inaccurate

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction accuracyVSAvoidtimeliness of prediction
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary analysis of customer behavior patterns and establishes baseline models in advance. By continuously monitoring customer activities against these pre-established patterns, the system can detect deviations early and generate predictions before churn actually occurs, resolving the timeliness issue while maintaining accuracy through the pre-configured analytical framework.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system implements continuous feedback loops where customer behavior data is constantly fed back into the machine learning models. This real-time feedback mechanism allows the system to update predictions dynamically, improving both timeliness and accuracy by adjusting to changing customer patterns immediately rather than relying on static historical analysis.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

2Loss of information

If specialized automation and customized programming are implemented to extract useful information, then information quality improves, but system complexity and cost increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveuseful information extractionVSAvoidautomation system complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Loss of informationVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The machine learning system performs self-service by automatically extracting, processing, and analyzing customer behavior patterns without requiring specialized programming for each analysis task. The system autonomously identifies relevant features, builds predictive models, and generates insights from raw customer data, eliminating the need for complex customized programming while maintaining high information quality.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

Solution Approach 2:

The patent implements a universal machine learning platform that handles multiple customer analysis tasks through a single system architecture. This multi-functional system can perform various types of behavioral pattern recognition, prediction, and analysis using the same core infrastructure, reducing overall system complexity compared to having separate specialized systems for each analytical function.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

3Measurement precision

If more customer data is collected and analyzed, then prediction potential increases, but data processing complexity and resource requirements increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvechurn prediction capabilityVSAvoiddata processing complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system extracts only the most relevant behavioral features and patterns from the vast customer data, rather than processing all available data equally. By identifying and extracting key predictive indicators through automated feature selection, the system maintains high prediction accuracy while reducing the computational complexity and resource requirements of data processing.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent segments customer data into distinct behavioral categories and patterns, analyzing each segment with appropriate machine learning models. This segmentation approach allows the system to handle large volumes of diverse customer data efficiently by breaking it down into manageable, behaviorally-relevant groups, reducing overall processing complexity while maintaining comprehensive prediction capability.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Data Source

PatentUS11436633B2Machine learning predictive deviation and remediation
Publication Date: 2022.09.06 NCR VOYIX CORP
  • US11436633B2 patent drawing
  • US11436633B2 patent drawing
  • US11436633B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A machine-learning algorithm is trained with features relevant to a modeled set of input directed to patterns of activities specific to a given behavior. The trained algorithm is also trained on success and failures of remediation actions that change or do not change the given behavior. The trained algorithm is then provided the modeled set of input at predefined intervals of time and supplies as output expected deviations/changes that are predicted for the given behavior along with an indication as to whether the remediation actions are likely to prevent or change the expected behaviors.