Machine Learning Model for E-commerce Shipping Prediction

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Solution Overview

Problem

E-commerce consumers face uncertainty regarding shipping details, as they cannot accurately predict courier services used for deliveries, leading to consumer frustration and lost sales, due to merchants using multiple courier services and the complexity of online transactions.

Innovation Solution

A machine learning model is trained to classify transactions and predict shipping information by analyzing transaction data, user feedback, and merchant behavior, displayed to users through a browser application, allowing them to set preferences and customize their experiences.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Adaptability or versatility

If merchants use multiple courier services for delivery, then delivery flexibility and service coverage are improved, but shipping prediction accuracy and consumer certainty deteriorate

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedelivery flexibilityVSAvoidshipping prediction accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments the shipping information prediction task by analyzing individual transaction parameters (merchant category, product type, transaction amount, location) separately and then combining them to predict shipping details. This allows the system to handle multiple courier services by breaking down the complex prediction into manageable parameter-based segments.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The system implements feedback mechanisms where shipping information predictions are continuously refined based on user interactions, confirmations, and corrections. User feedback loops allow the system to learn from actual shipping outcomes and improve prediction accuracy for future transactions involving multiple courier services.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

2Ease of operation

If shipping information is not provided in advance, then transaction simplicity is maintained, but consumer frustration and lost sales increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvetransaction simplicityVSAvoidconsumer satisfaction
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of operationVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies preliminary action by predicting and displaying shipping information before the transaction is completed. The system analyzes transaction parameters in real-time and provides shipping details (courier service, delivery time, tracking information) to consumers during the shopping process, allowing them to make informed decisions without adding complexity to the transaction flow.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system acts as an intermediary between merchants and consumers by providing independent shipping information predictions. This intermediary layer translates complex merchant shipping arrangements into consumer-friendly predictions, maintaining transaction simplicity while enhancing consumer trust and satisfaction through transparent shipping information.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

3Device complexity

If single transaction data is used for prediction, then data processing complexity is reduced, but shipping prediction accuracy deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedata processing complexityVSAvoidshipping prediction accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Device complexityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments transaction data into distinct parameter categories (merchant information, product details, transaction metadata, location data) that can be processed independently. This segmentation allows the system to handle multiple data sources without proportionally increasing complexity, as each parameter type has dedicated processing logic for predicting shipping information.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The system implements a universal prediction framework that processes multiple types of transaction data through a single integrated model. This multi-functional approach allows the same system architecture to handle diverse data inputs (different merchants, products, locations) without requiring separate processing pipelines for each data type, maintaining manageable complexity while improving prediction accuracy through comprehensive data analysis.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

Data Source

PatentUS12106264B2Crowdsourced insights about merchant shipping methods
Publication Date: 2024.10.01 CAPITAL ONE SERVICES LLC
  • US12106264B2 patent drawing
  • US12106264B2 patent drawing
  • US12106264B2 patent drawing

AI summary

Aspects described herein may allow for the application of machine learning techniques to the classification of transactions and/or the prediction of shipping means for such transactions. This may have the effect of generating better insights into user shopping behavior and providing users with better predictions as to how they may expect to receive their purchases. A browser application may be monitored to determine that a user is shopping. A machine learning model may be used to predict shipping data associated with a product and/or merchant associated with the shopping of the user. Predicted shipping data may be displayed to the user, and user feedback may be requested and received to confirm model predictions and review purchases and shipping experiences.