Monotonic Binning Rule Generation for Computer Operation Prediction

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Solution Overview

Problem

Conventional machine learning approaches for predicting characteristics of computer operations are limited in handling different types of variables, fail to leverage user domain knowledge, and do not provide mechanisms for users to modify or remove constraints during the rule generation process, leading to suboptimal performance in detecting undesirable computer operations.

Innovation Solution

A system that includes a rule generation system capable of preprocessing historical data, performing monotonic binning, and optimizing cutoffs to generate rules that can handle various types of variables and incorporate user domain knowledge, allowing users to define characteristics, select variables, and adjust rule generation parameters to improve prediction accuracy.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Adaptability or versatility

If conventional machine learning approaches are used for predicting characteristics of computer operations, then the system can identify trends in data, but the system fails to handle different types of variables effectively and cannot leverage user domain knowledge

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveability to handle different types of variablesVSAvoidprediction accuracy for detecting undesirable operations
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments the rule generation process into distinct modules: data preprocessing module, monotonic binning module, rule generation module, and optimization module. Each module handles specific aspects of variable processing, allowing the system to effectively manage different variable types while maintaining prediction reliability through specialized processing at each stage.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The patent introduces monotonic binning as an intermediary transformation step that converts various variable types into a unified monotonic scale. This intermediary process enables the system to handle diverse variable types (categorical, numerical, temporal) while preserving the relationship between variables and target characteristics, thereby maintaining prediction accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

2Ease of operation

If conventional machine learning approaches are used, then models can be trained from existing data, but users cannot modify or remove constraints during the rule generation process

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveuser ability to modify constraintsVSAvoidprediction performance
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of operationVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The patent implements a dynamic rule generation process where users can iteratively adjust parameters including the target variable, variable selection criteria, binning configurations, and constraint conditions. The system re-executes the rule generation pipeline with each parameter change, allowing users to optimize prediction performance while maintaining ease of operation through an interactive interface.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

3Measurement precision

If monotonic binning is performed on selected variables, then the system can create bins with monotonically increasing or decreasing prevalence, but the process requires determining optimal cutoffs which increases system complexity

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvebin prevalence measurement accuracyVSAvoidcutoff determination process complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent implements an optimization module that uses feedback from prediction performance metrics to automatically adjust cutoff values for each variable's bins. The system evaluates different cutoff configurations based on their ability to correctly predict target characteristics and iteratively refines the cutoffs to maximize prediction accuracy, thereby achieving high measurement precision without requiring manual intervention.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Data Source

PatentUS20240394565A1Generating rules for predicting characteristics of computer operations
Publication Date: 2024.11.28 PAYPAL INC
  • US20240394565A1 patent drawing
  • US20240394565A1 patent drawing
  • US20240394565A1 patent drawing

AI summary

Techniques are disclosed that relate to generating a rule for performing predictions of a characteristic of computer operations. A computer system may receive historical data that describes executed computer operations, including variables associated with those executed computer operations, and user input specifying desired properties of the performed predictions. The computer system determines, for a given variable, bins having ranges specified using the variable. The bins may be formed such that, when the executed computer operations are grouped into the bins, a prevalence of the characteristic monotonically increases or decreases from bin to bin across a bin ordering that is based on the ranges. The computer system then determines one or more cutoffs for one or more of the variables based on the desired properties from user's inputs and the determined bins. The computer system generates the rule based on the one or more cutoffs and the one or more variables.