Mould Growth Prediction Using Time-Series Humidity Analysis

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing methods for predicting and determining the cause of mould growth in enclosed spaces are inaccurate and fail to account for the dynamic and fluctuating nature of indoor environments, leading to unreliable predictions and late warnings, which can result in costly repairs and health risks.

Innovation Solution

A computer-implemented method that analyzes time-series sensor data of air temperature and relative humidity, extracting specific data features such as cross-correlation values and duration of humidity above thresholds, to predict mould growth and identify its cause by performing computational analysis using machine learning models.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Device complexity

If current temperature and humidity readings are used to predict mould growth, then the prediction process is simple, but the prediction accuracy is insufficient

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction process complexityVSAvoidmould growth prediction accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Device complexityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary analysis by continuously monitoring and storing historical temperature and humidity data before mould growth occurs. This allows the model to predict mould risk in advance by analyzing patterns in the accumulated data, rather than simply reacting to current conditions.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The prediction system transitions from static current readings to dynamic time-series analysis. The model evaluates how temperature and humidity change over time, capturing the dynamic nature of indoor environments and their relationship to mould growth conditions.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

2Ease of manufacture

If threshold-based warning systems are used, then the system is easy to implement, but warnings occur too late when mould has already started growing

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvesystem implementation easeVSAvoidtime for mould prevention
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of manufactureVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary analysis by continuously monitoring and storing historical temperature and humidity data before mould growth occurs. This allows the model to predict mould risk in advance by analyzing patterns in the accumulated data, rather than simply reacting to current conditions.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system implements a feedback mechanism where prediction results are continuously updated as new sensor data becomes available. The model learns from past predictions and actual outcomes, adjusting its parameters to improve accuracy over time and provide increasingly timely warnings.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

3Use of energy by moving object

If simple threshold comparisons are used for prediction, then the computational requirements are low, but the system produces many false positive warnings

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecomputational energy consumptionVSAvoidwarning system reliability
Core Design Contradiction:
Use of energy by moving objectVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The prediction system transitions from static current readings to dynamic time-series analysis. The model evaluates how temperature and humidity change over time, capturing the dynamic nature of indoor environments and their relationship to mould growth conditions.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

Solution Approach 2:

The system changes from using single threshold parameters to multiple dynamic parameters including time offsets, correlation coefficients, and trend analysis metrics. These parameter changes enable more nuanced discrimination between temporary humidity spikes and genuine mould risk conditions.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

4Device complexity

If sensor data from specific locations is used, then the measurement setup is simplified, but the prediction results vary significantly based on sensor placement

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvesensor placement complexityVSAvoidprediction result consistency
Core Design Contradiction:
Device complexityVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The system designs a universal prediction model that can process data from various sensor placements. By using time-series analysis and pattern recognition, the model adapts to different locations and configurations, making the system universally applicable regardless of where sensors are positioned in the room.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

Data Source

PatentEP4575941A1Method for predicting mould growth and for determining its cause
Publication Date: 2025.06.25 ZURICH INSURANCE COMPANY LTD
  • EP4575941A1 patent drawingFigure 1A~2
  • EP4575941A1 patent drawingFigure 3A~5B
  • EP4575941A1 patent drawing

AI summary

The present invention relates to the technical field of building maintenance. It relates in particular to a computer-implemented method for predicting mould growth in an enclosed space. It also relates to a computer-implemented method for determining at least one cause of mould growth in an enclosed space. It further relates to a data processing system, a computer program and a computer-readable medium.