Multi-mode Dynamic Residual Graph Convolution Network for Traffic Flow Forecasting

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing traffic flow forecasting methods struggle to effectively capture and integrate the complex characteristics of different traffic modes in urban networks, which are influenced by various factors such as topology, weather, and emergencies, leading to inaccurate congestion predictions.

Innovation Solution

A traffic flow forecasting method based on a multi-mode dynamic residual graph convolution network is developed, utilizing two adjacency matrices to capture space and time dependencies, and a dynamic residual fusion mechanism to combine historical data with extracted features for improved forecasting.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Adaptability or versatility

If a single adjacency matrix is used to capture traffic characteristics, then the model structure is simple, but it cannot capture traffic characteristics corresponding to different traffic modes

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecapture capability of different traffic modesVSAvoidmodel structure complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent divides the single adjacency matrix into two separate adjacency matrices: a first adjacency matrix for capturing space dependence characteristics and a second adjacency matrix for capturing time dependence characteristics. This segmentation allows each matrix to specialize in capturing specific traffic mode characteristics, thereby improving the model's adaptability to different traffic modes while maintaining manageable structural complexity through modular design.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

2Measurement precision

If multiple adjacency matrices are used to capture different traffic modes, then the capture accuracy of traffic characteristics improves, but the computational complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveaccuracy of traffic characteristic captureVSAvoidcomputational complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent merges the outputs of the two adjacency matrices through a fusion mechanism that combines space dependence and time dependence characteristics. By integrating these two matrices' results, the model achieves comprehensive capture of different traffic modes' characteristics while managing computational complexity through efficient fusion operations rather than requiring separate processing for each matrix.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #5Merging (Combining)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent designs a unified graph convolution network framework that can process both space and time dependence characteristics through the two adjacency matrices. This multi-functional design allows the same network architecture to handle different traffic modes (space-based and time-based) without requiring completely separate models, thereby improving measurement precision while controlling computational complexity through shared computational resources.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

3Measurement precision

If historical data is not effectively integrated, then the forecasting model is simpler, but the forecasting accuracy is reduced

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveforecasting accuracyVSAvoiddata integration complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent performs preliminary action by extracting and pre-processing historical data features before feeding them into the forecasting model. The historical data is processed to extract relevant patterns and characteristics in advance, which are then integrated into the graph convolution network. This preliminary processing improves forecasting accuracy by ensuring the model receives well-processed historical information while reducing the complexity of real-time data integration during forecasting.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Data Source

PatentUS12198541B2Traffic flow forecasting method based on multi-mode dynamic residual graph convolution network
Publication Date: 2025.01.14 EAST CHINA JIAOTONG UNIVERSITY
  • US12198541B2 patent drawing
  • US12198541B2 patent drawing
  • US12198541B2 patent drawing

AI summary

Disclosed is a traffic flow forecasting method based on a multi-mode dynamic residual graph convolution network, including following steps: constructing a relationship matrix and an adaptive matrix to learn the site dependence relationship for historical traffic data of traffic stations; using multi-mode dynamic graph convolution to extract traffic characteristics corresponding to different traffic modes; embedding the graph convolution into the gated cyclic neural network to realize the combination of space dependence and time dependence of traffic flow; connecting the network by using the dynamic residual, and combining the input traffic data with the decoding data to obtain the final forecasting value. The application utilizes two different methods to construct adjacency matrix, effectively captures traffic flow characteristics corresponding to different traffic modes, and dynamically fuses traffic flow characteristics of two different modes.