Multi-Target ML Model for Product Execution Outcome and Lifespan Prediction

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing project management tools lack the intelligence to accurately predict the outcomes and lifespan of products/projects at the planning stage, especially with the rapid evolution of technology and business factors.

Innovation Solution

A multi-target machine learning (ML) model, such as a multi-output deep neural network (DNN), is trained using historical product execution and lifespan data to predict both the execution outcome and lifespan estimate of new products, enabling better-informed decision-making.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If traditional project management tools are used, then ease of operation is maintained, but prediction accuracy of product execution outcome and lifespan is insufficient

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction accuracyVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

A multi-target machine learning model serves as an intermediary between historical product data and future execution outcomes. The model processes multiple input features (product type, business domain, language, database, consumption, deployment) and simultaneously predicts both execution outcome and lifespan, resolving the contradiction by introducing an intelligent mediation layer that enhances prediction accuracy without requiring direct complex manual analysis

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

Solution Approach 2:

The machine learning model performs multiple prediction functions simultaneously - it predicts both execution outcome (classification) and lifespan (regression) from the same input features. This multi-functionality allows a single system to address multiple prediction needs, improving overall measurement precision while avoiding the need for separate complex analysis tools for each prediction type

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

2Productivity

If multiple prediction targets are addressed simultaneously, then productivity is improved through comprehensive insights, but device complexity increases due to multi-target modeling

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedecision-making efficiencyVSAvoidmodel complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent combines multiple prediction tasks (execution outcome prediction and lifespan prediction) into a single multi-target machine learning model. By merging these functions into one unified system that processes shared input features simultaneously, the solution improves productivity through comprehensive insights while managing complexity through shared computational infrastructure and feature processing pipelines

Inventive Principle:
Principle #5Merging (Combining)

3Measurement precision

If historical data from multiple dimensions is utilized, then measurement precision of predictions is improved, but loss of time in data processing increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction accuracyVSAvoiddata processing time
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary processing of historical product data during the training phase, pre-computing feature representations and relationships across multiple dimensions (product type, business domain, language, database, consumption, deployment). This preliminary action stores learned patterns and correlations in the trained model, enabling fast predictions on new products without re-processing all historical data, thus improving measurement precision while minimizing time loss during actual prediction operations

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Data Source

PatentUS20240386352A1Intelligent prediction of product/project execution outcome and lifespan estimation
Publication Date: 2024.11.21 DELL PROD LP
  • US20240386352A1 patent drawing
  • US20240386352A1 patent drawing
  • US20240386352A1 patent drawing

AI summary

An example methodology includes, by a computing device, receiving information regarding a product from another computing device and determining one or more relevant features from the information regarding the product, the one or more relevant features influencing predictions of a product execution outcome and a lifespan estimate. The method also includes, by the computing device, generating, using a multi-target machine learning (ML) model, a first prediction of an execution outcome of the product and a second prediction of a lifespan estimate of the product based on the determined one or more relevant features, and sending the first and second predictions to the another computing device.