Multitask Process Effect Estimation for Optimal Treatment Combinations

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing methods for estimating individual process effects are limited to single time points and do not account for multiple process types, making it difficult to determine the optimal quantity of processes to achieve the highest effect.

Innovation Solution

An information processing device that generates supervised data including causal variables and process types, and uses a multitask Gaussian process to learn and estimate outcome variables for multiple processes, considering factors like attributes, purchase history, and environmental conditions.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Device complexity

If conventional single-time-point estimation methods are used, then the estimation process is simple, but the ability to determine optimal process combinations and quantities is insufficient

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveestimation process complexityVSAvoidability to determine optimal process combinations
Core Design Contradiction:
Device complexityVSAdaptability or versatility

Solution Approach 1:

The patent extends the estimation from single time points to multiple time points, adding a temporal dimension. This allows the system to capture dynamic changes in treatment effects over time, enabling determination of optimal process combinations and quantities while maintaining a structured estimation framework.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #17Another dimension (Dimensionality change)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent creates a unified estimation framework that handles multiple process types (treatment, control, and their combinations) simultaneously. The learning model is designed to estimate individual treatment effects, control effects, and their interactions in a single integrated system, providing versatile optimization capabilities.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

2Adaptability or versatility

If multiple process types are considered, then the ability to optimize process combinations improves, but the complexity of data generation and model learning increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecapability to handle multiple process typesVSAvoidcomplexity of supervised data generation
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments the complex estimation problem into distinct components: treatment effects, control effects, and their interactions. By generating supervised data for each component separately and then combining them in the learning model, the system handles multiple process types systematically while managing data generation complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The patent introduces process quantity as a variable parameter that can be optimized. The learning model estimates effects as functions of process quantities, allowing the system to determine optimal process combinations and quantities by varying these parameters and evaluating their impact on treatment outcomes.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

3Ease of operation

If individual treatment effects are estimated at single time points, then the estimation method is straightforward, but the degree of process quantity cannot be considered

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvesimplicity of estimation methodVSAvoidinformation about process quantity effects
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of operationVSLoss of information

Solution Approach 1:

The patent transitions from static single-time-point estimation to dynamic multi-time-point estimation. The learning model captures how treatment effects evolve over time and vary with process quantities, preserving information about temporal dynamics and quantity-dependent effects while maintaining operational simplicity through automated model learning.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

Data Source

PatentUS20250356448A1Information processing device
Publication Date: 2025.11.20 MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC CORP
  • US20250356448A1 patent drawing
  • US20250356448A1 patent drawing
  • US20250356448A1 patent drawing

AI summary

An estimation device includes an input unit that generates supervised data including causal variables, process types, and outcome variable for each of multiple processes, and a training unit that uses the supervised data to generate a learning model by learning the outcome variables from the causal variables and the process types for each of the processes.