Neutralized Prediction Model for Dynamic Data Analysis

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing predictive data analysis systems are inefficient and unreliable in dynamic domains with changing input structures, as they require frequent re-training of models due to changes in input data, leading to inaccurate predictions and increased resource costs.

Innovation Solution

The method involves accessing an initial prediction model trained with a training data object containing control and predictor variables, performing randomized shuffling and neutralization to generate a neutralized training data object, and creating a neutralized prediction model that isolates and removes undesirable predictor variables, reducing the need for re-training by adjusting and refining models post-training.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If predictive data analysis systems use traditional training methods with changing input data, then models can be trained on initial data, but they require frequent re-training leading to inaccurate predictions and increased resource costs

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvepredictive accuracyVSAvoidre-training frequency
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary actions by creating a neutralized training data object that pre-processes and removes control predictor variables before model training. This preliminary neutralization allows the model to be trained once with cleaned data, eliminating the need for frequent re-training when input data changes, thus resolving the contradiction between maintaining predictive accuracy and reducing re-training frequency

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The invention extracts and removes control predictor variables from the training data through neutralization. By taking out these variables that cause spurious correlations, the system creates a purified training dataset that enables models to maintain accuracy without frequent re-training, addressing both reliability and time loss issues

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

2Reliability

If models are re-trained frequently to adapt to changing input structures, then predictive accuracy can be maintained, but computational resource costs increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvepredictive accuracyVSAvoidcomputational resource costs
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSUse of energy by moving object

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary neutralization of control predictor variables before model training. This pre-processing step creates a ready-to-use training dataset that eliminates the need for frequent re-training, thereby maintaining predictive accuracy while significantly reducing computational resource consumption

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

By extracting and removing control predictor variables that create spurious correlations, the system creates a cleaned training dataset. This extraction allows the model to be trained once with high accuracy, eliminating repeated computational costs associated with re-training, thus resolving the contradiction between accuracy maintenance and resource consumption

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

3Quantity of substance

If control predictor variables are included in training data, then models can learn from all available data, but spurious correlations reduce prediction reliability in dynamic domains

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvetraining data completenessVSAvoidprediction reliability
Core Design Contradiction:
Quantity of substanceVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The system extracts and removes control predictor variables from the training data through neutralization. This extraction eliminates spurious correlations while preserving non-control predictor variables, thereby maintaining training data completeness for relevant features while improving prediction reliability by removing harmful variables

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

Solution Approach 2:

The neutralization process applies local quality by selectively treating different variables differently - control predictor variables are removed while non-control predictor variables are preserved. This selective processing maintains the completeness of useful training data while improving reliability by excluding variables that create spurious correlations

Inventive Principle:
Principle #3Local quality

Data Source

PatentUS11954603B1Predictor neutralization in predictive data analysis systems
Publication Date: 2024.04.09 LIBERTY MUTUAL INSURANCE CO
  • US11954603B1 patent drawing
  • US11954603B1 patent drawing
  • US11954603B1 patent drawing

AI summary

There is a need for more effective and efficient predictive data analysis. Various embodiments of the present invention address one or more of the noted technical challenges. In one example, a method for generating a neutralized prediction model includes accessing an initial prediction model generated using an initial training data object, performing a randomized shuffling of the initial training data object to generate a shuffled training data object, generating randomized predictions by processing the shuffled training data object using the initial prediction model, performing a neutralization of the initial training data object to generate a neutralized training data object, and generating the neutralized prediction model based at least in part on the neutralized training data object and the randomized predictions.