6DOF Pose Uncertainty Estimation for 2D-to-3D Image Prediction

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing aerial refueling techniques suffer from inaccuracies in position estimation due to interference with image acquisition, leading to inefficiencies and safety concerns.

Innovation Solution

A system utilizing a camera, processor, and neural networks to predict 2D keypoints and estimate 6DOF pose with PnP optimization, combined with uncertainty analysis from ensemble and Monte Carlo sampling to improve accuracy and reliability.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If traditional position estimation methods are used in aerial refueling, then the system complexity remains low, but measurement precision and reliability deteriorate due to image acquisition interference

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveposition estimation accuracyVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent introduces an intermediary uncertainty estimation module that acts as a mediator between the image acquisition system and the position estimation system. This module processes the output of neural networks and provides uncertainty scores that indicate the reliability of position estimates, allowing the system to account for image acquisition interference without fundamentally changing the core estimation architecture.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent implements feedback mechanisms where uncertainty scores from ensemble neural networks and Monte Carlo sampling are fed back into the position estimation system. This feedback allows the system to adjust its confidence in position estimates based on the quality of input images and the consistency of neural network outputs, improving measurement precision while maintaining manageable system complexity through structured information flow.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

2Reliability

If ensemble neural networks and Monte Carlo sampling are used to reduce uncertainty, then reliability improves, but device complexity and computational requirements increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveposition estimation reliabilityVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies preliminary action by pre-training multiple neural networks in an ensemble before deployment. These networks are trained offline on diverse datasets that account for various image acquisition conditions, allowing the system to reliably estimate uncertainty during operation without requiring complex real-time processing. The preliminary training phase captures the complexity, while the operational phase benefits from the prepared models.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The patent uses partial action by implementing uncertainty estimation only for critical position parameters that require high reliability, such as the relative position between tanker and receiver aircraft. Not all position estimates require the full computational overhead of ensemble methods and Monte Carlo sampling, allowing the system to balance reliability improvements with computational constraints by applying these techniques selectively.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

3Measurement precision

If multiple uncertainty sources are analyzed, then measurement precision improves, but loss of time increases due to additional processing

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveuncertainty score accuracyVSAvoidprocessing time
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments the uncertainty analysis into distinct independent components: uncertainty from ensemble neural network variations and uncertainty from Monte Carlo sampling of the PnP problem. Each component is calculated separately using optimized algorithms, and the results are combined to form the total uncertainty score. This segmentation allows each component to be processed efficiently without the overhead of a monolithic uncertainty calculation, reducing overall processing time while maintaining comprehensive uncertainty analysis.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Data Source

PatentEP4704034A1Systems and methods for performing uncertainty determination in a 2d-to-3d image prediction system
Publication Date: 2026.03.04 THE BOEING CO
  • EP4704034A1 patent drawingFigure 1
  • EP4704034A1 patent drawingFigure 2
  • EP4704034A1 patent drawingFigure 3

AI summary

A method includes receiving a two-dimensional (2D) image from a camera, predicting 2D keypoints of a target object within the 2D image based on a previously trained ensemble of neural networks, and estimating 6 degree-of-freedom (6DOF) position (pose) of the target object using the 2D keypoints using a perspective-n-point (PnP) optimization technique to create 6DOF pose parameters for each neural network in the ensemble. The method combines the result into a single estimate of 6DOF pose parameters. The method also includes determining an uncertainty score based on a first uncertainty value and a second uncertainty value, and outputting the 6DOF pose parameters in response to the uncertainty score being within a predefined threshold.