Predictive Aircraft Ice Detection Using Low-Power Environmental Sensing

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current methods for detecting ice buildup on aircraft are inadequate, particularly for uncrewed helicopters and smaller aircraft, as they lack effective remediation systems and rely on power-intensive weather radar, leading to delayed detection and increased risk of ice accumulation, which can result in loss of control or catastrophic failure.

Innovation Solution

A machine-learning-based predictive ice detection system using environmental sensors to measure temperature and dew point, processing data with supervised and reinforcement learning engines to compute icing probabilities and generate alerts or recommended maneuvers, enabling preemptive navigation to avoid icing conditions without the need for weather radar, minimizing power and weight requirements.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If weather radar is used to detect icing conditions, then detection capability is improved, but power consumption and device complexity increase significantly

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveicing detection capabilityVSAvoidpower consumption
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSUse of energy by moving object

Solution Approach 1:

The patent extracts only the essential environmental parameters (temperature, dew point, humidity) needed for icing prediction from the complex weather radar system. By using simple sensors to measure specific parameters and applying machine learning algorithms, the system achieves effective icing detection without the excessive power consumption and complexity of full weather radar systems.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent replaces the mechanical/electromagnetic weather radar system with a computational approach using machine learning algorithms. The system substitutes physical radar detection with mathematical modeling that processes sensor data to predict icing conditions, significantly reducing power requirements while maintaining detection effectiveness.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

2Measurement precision

If weather radar is used to detect icing conditions, then detection capability is improved, but device complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveicing detection capabilityVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent extracts only the essential environmental parameters (temperature, dew point, humidity) needed for icing prediction from the complex weather radar system. By using simple sensors to measure specific parameters and applying machine learning algorithms, the system achieves effective icing detection without the excessive power consumption and complexity of full weather radar systems.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

3Measurement precision

If traditional ice detectors are used on helicopters, then detection is possible, but detection speed is too slow for rapidly accumulating rotor ice

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveicing detection accuracyVSAvoiddetection speed
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSSpeed

Solution Approach 1:

The patent performs preliminary action by continuously monitoring environmental parameters (temperature, dew point, humidity) and using machine learning algorithms to predict icing conditions before they develop. This predictive approach provides early warning of impending icing, giving pilots advance notice to take preventive action before ice accumulates on the rotor blades.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system implements continuous feedback by monitoring environmental parameters in real-time and updating predictions dynamically. The machine learning model processes ongoing sensor data to provide continuous assessment of icing risk, enabling rapid response to changing conditions that affect rotor icing accumulation.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

4Reliability

If anti-icing systems are operated continuously to prevent ice accumulation, then flight safety is improved, but power consumption becomes prohibitive

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveflight safetyVSAvoidpower consumption
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSUse of energy by moving object

Solution Approach 1:

The patent performs preliminary action by continuously monitoring environmental parameters (temperature, dew point, humidity) and using machine learning algorithms to predict icing conditions before they develop. This predictive approach provides early warning of impending icing, giving pilots advance notice to take preventive action before ice accumulates on the rotor blades.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system dynamically adjusts anti-icing system operation based on real-time predictions of icing risk. Rather than continuous operation, the system activates anti-icing measures only when the machine learning model predicts elevated icing risk, optimizing power consumption while maintaining flight safety through condition-based operation.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

Data Source

PatentUS11922331B2Machine-learning-based predictive ice detection
Publication Date: 2024.03.05 NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORP
  • US11922331B2 patent drawing
  • US11922331B2 patent drawing
  • US11922331B2 patent drawing

AI summary

Systems and methods for machine-learning-based aircraft icing prediction use supervised and unsupervised learning to process real-time environmental data, such as onboard measurements of outside air temperature and dew point, to predict a risk of icing and determine whether to issue an icing risk alert to an onboard crewmember or a remote operator, and/or to recommend an icing avoidance maneuver. The systems and methods can use reinforcement learning to generate a confidence metric in the predicted risk of icing, to determine a time or distance to predicting icing, and/or to not issue an alert or recommend a maneuver in consideration of historical data in a “library of learning” and/or other flight data such as airspeed, altitude, time of year, and weather conditions. The predictive systems and methods are low-cost and low-power, do not require onboard weather radar, and can be effective for use in smaller aircraft that are completely icing-intolerant.