Predictive Capacity Tool for Healthcare Resource Allocation

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Solution Overview

Problem

Healthcare facilities face challenges in managing capacity and resource allocation due to increasing patient demand, leading to inefficiencies, increased costs, and decreased patient satisfaction, primarily due to inadequate prediction and management of patient flow and staffing needs.

Innovation Solution

A predictive tool that utilizes real-time data analysis and forecasting to identify capacity constraints, optimize patient flow, and synchronize staffing schedules across healthcare units, providing real-time visibility into bed availability and potential bottlenecks, thereby enabling more efficient resource allocation and patient management.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Quantity of substance

If health care facilities expand physical space to handle increased patient demand, then patient capacity increases, but facility costs increase dramatically (about $800,000 per bed)

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvepatient capacityVSAvoidfacility costs
Core Design Contradiction:
Quantity of substanceVSLoss of energy

Solution Approach 1:

The patent creates a virtual model (digital twin) of the health care facility that replicates physical space, patient flow, and resource allocation. This virtual copy allows for simulation and optimization of capacity management without requiring physical expansion, thereby avoiding the $800,000 per bed construction cost while still achieving increased effective capacity through better utilization of existing resources.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #26Copying

Solution Approach 2:

The system performs preliminary analysis and prediction of patient flow patterns, capacity constraints, and resource needs before actual patient admission or facility expansion. By using historical data and predictive analytics, the system identifies optimal allocation strategies in advance, enabling facilities to maximize existing capacity before considering expensive physical expansion.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

2Ease of operation

If health care facilities manually monitor bed availability and patient flow, then resource allocation can be adjusted, but real-time visibility and prediction accuracy are insufficient

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveresource allocation flexibilityVSAvoidcapacity prediction accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of operationVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces manual mechanical monitoring methods with an automated electronic system that uses sensors, data collection devices, and computational algorithms. This substitution provides continuous real-time tracking of bed availability, patient flow, and resource utilization, dramatically improving measurement precision while maintaining operational flexibility through automated alerting and recommendation systems.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The system implements continuous feedback loops where real-time data from the facility is fed into predictive models, which then generate recommendations that are fed back to staff. This closed-loop system continuously refines prediction accuracy by learning from actual outcomes and adjusting models accordingly, while keeping operators informed of current capacity status and optimal allocation strategies.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

3Reliability

If health care facilities increase staffing to manage higher patient volumes, then patient care quality improves, but operational costs increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvepatient care qualityVSAvoidoperational costs
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of energy

Solution Approach 1:

The patent implements dynamic staffing optimization that adjusts staff allocation based on real-time patient acuity, predicted admission rates, and current workload distribution. Rather than maintaining fixed staffing levels, the system continuously reallocates personnel to high-priority areas, ensuring adequate care quality during peak demand periods while reducing staffing in low-utilization areas, thereby maintaining reliability while controlling operational costs.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

Solution Approach 2:

The system changes key operational parameters such as staff-to-patient ratios, shift lengths, and skill mix compositions based on predictive analytics and real-time conditions. By dynamically adjusting these parameters rather than maintaining static staffing configurations, the facility can optimize care quality for each specific situation while minimizing unnecessary operational expenditures on staffing.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

4Device complexity

If health care facilities use traditional capacity management methods, then operational simplicity is maintained, but patient throughput and efficiency decrease

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemanagement system simplicityVSAvoidpatient throughput
Core Design Contradiction:
Device complexityVSProductivity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments the complex capacity management system into modular functional components: data collection modules, predictive analytics engines, visualization dashboards, and alerting systems. Each module operates independently but integrates seamlessly with others, allowing the facility to implement the system in phases and maintain operational simplicity while achieving significant productivity improvements through targeted automation of specific management functions.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Data Source

PatentUS8799009B2Systems, methods and apparatuses for predicting capacity of resources in an institution
Publication Date: 2014.08.05 CHANGE HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS LLC
  • US8799009B2 patent drawing
  • US8799009B2 patent drawing
  • US8799009B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A method, apparatus, system and computer program product are provided for determining one or more current or future conditions regarding capacity and allocation of resources in an institution. The apparatus enables personnel to utilize predictive tools to identify in real-time or in the near future areas of capacity constraints within the institution. The apparatus includes a processor configured to analyze data which includes information associated with the institution. A portion of the data is generated in real-time during an actual time in which events occur. The processor is capable of using at least a portion of the data to identify current conditions or generate one or more predictions regarding conditions to occur in the future that are associated with resources and capacity of the institution. Also, the processor is capable of analyzing results of the predictions and allocating resources of the institution on the basis of the predicted results.