Predictive Maintenance Scheduling for Cost and Downtime Tradeoffs

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current maintenance scheduling systems fail to optimally minimize costs and prevent premature component replacement, as they do not consider the losses associated with early replacement and the availability of resources during unscheduled maintenance events.

Innovation Solution

A method and system that collect pre-emptive and preventive maintenance data, apply mathematical models to predict component failure times, and analyze this data to determine an optimal time for maintenance events that minimize total costs, considering factors like downtime, part availability, and resource constraints.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If components are replaced at scheduled maintenance intervals, then equipment reliability is maintained, but components may be replaced prematurely sacrificing their remaining useful life

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveequipment reliabilityVSAvoidremaining useful life of components
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of substance

Solution Approach 1:

The system changes the maintenance scheduling parameter from fixed time intervals to dynamic intervals based on predicted failure times. By continuously updating the schedule based on new failure predictions and comparing them with previously scheduled maintenance times, the system adjusts maintenance timing to occur just before actual failures, thereby maximizing component utilization while maintaining reliability.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

2Loss of time

If multiple maintenance tasks are batched together during unscheduled maintenance, then downtime costs are reduced, but components may be replaced prematurely and resource availability may be compromised

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveequipment downtimeVSAvoidvalue of replaced components
Core Design Contradiction:
Loss of timeVSLoss of substance

Solution Approach 1:

The system introduces dynamic scheduling that adapts to changing conditions. Instead of static batching decisions, the system continuously evaluates new failure predictions against the current maintenance schedule and resource availability. This dynamic approach allows the schedule to be optimized in real-time, batching tasks only when it truly minimizes downtime without causing premature replacement, thereby resolving the contradiction between reducing downtime and preserving component value.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

3Ease of operation

If maintenance is performed at fixed scheduled intervals, then planning is simplified, but unscheduled maintenance issues may increase costs by requiring additional equipment outages

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemaintenance planningVSAvoidtotal maintenance costs
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of operationVSLoss of substance

Solution Approach 1:

The system implements a feedback mechanism where failure predictions are continuously monitored and fed back into the maintenance schedule. The system compares newly predicted failure times with previously scheduled maintenance times and adjusts the schedule accordingly. This feedback loop allows the system to maintain simplicity by automatically updating schedules based on actual component conditions, preventing additional unscheduled outages while keeping the planning process manageable through automated adjustments.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Data Source

PatentUS12135545B2Systems and methods for automatically scheduling maintenance
Publication Date: 2024.11.05 CATERPILLAR INC
  • US12135545B2 patent drawing
  • US12135545B2 patent drawing
  • US12135545B2 patent drawing

AI summary

Systems and methods for scheduling maintenance of equipment include collecting pre-emptive maintenance data associated with a pre-emptive maintenance task associated with a component of equipment, collecting preventive maintenance data associated with a scheduled preventive maintenance task associated with the component or another component, applying a model to predict a failure time value associated with a future failure of the component, analyzing the data and the time value to determine an optimal time to perform a maintenance event, and using that optimal time to schedule the next maintenance event. Determining the optimal time includes minimizing a total cost of the maintenance.