Predictive Performance Optimizer for Training Regimen Scheduling

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current intelligent tutoring systems lack the ability to account for memory decay and predict future readiness, as they assume knowledge remains stable over time, and require laborious manual processes to optimize training regimens, leading to inefficiencies and inaccuracies in training resource allocation.

Innovation Solution

A software tool that automates the optimization of training regimens by using predictive models to account for memory decay and spacing effects, providing dynamic graphical visualizations and intuitive interfaces to streamline the process of predicting and optimizing performance over time, allowing for efficient resource allocation and improved training effectiveness.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If traditional student modeling approaches are used, then current knowledge state estimation is provided, but future readiness prediction capability is lost

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecurrent knowledge state estimationVSAvoidfuture readiness prediction
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSAdaptability or versatility

Solution Approach 1:

The patent transforms static student models into dynamic predictive models by incorporating time-varying parameters and memory decay functions. The model continuously updates knowledge state estimates and predicts future performance based on spaced repetition schedules, enabling both current state estimation and future readiness prediction simultaneously.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

Solution Approach 2:

The system performs preliminary modeling of memory decay and spacing effects to predict future knowledge states before they occur. By pre-calculating the impact of time on memory retention and scheduling optimal review intervals, the system prepares training recommendations in advance based on predicted future readiness.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

2Adaptability or versatility

If manual optimization processes are used for training regimens, then flexibility in training design is maintained, but time consumption and human error increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvetraining regimen flexibilityVSAvoidmodeling and validation time
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system automatically optimizes training regimens by self-calibrating model parameters and generating personalized schedules without requiring manual intervention. The automated algorithm processes training data, predicts knowledge retention, and generates optimal review schedules independently, eliminating time-consuming manual optimization while maintaining flexibility through customizable model parameters.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

Solution Approach 2:

The patent employs automated parameter estimation and optimization techniques to adjust model parameters such as learning rates, memory decay constants, and spacing intervals. The system automatically tunes these parameters based on observed performance data, generating optimized training regimens without manual adjustment while preserving flexibility through configurable parameter ranges.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

3Ease of operation

If simple training hour counts are used to define readiness, then ease of measurement is achieved, but accuracy of performance assessment deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvereadiness measurement simplicityVSAvoidperformance assessment accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of operationVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces simple mechanical counting of training hours with a sophisticated computational model that integrates multiple factors including knowledge state estimation, memory decay functions, and performance tracking. This substitution maintains ease of operation through automated data collection while dramatically improving measurement precision through multi-dimensional performance assessment.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The system introduces an intermediary computational model that translates raw training data into meaningful readiness assessments. This intermediary layer processes multiple variables including performance scores, time intervals, and knowledge state estimates to produce accurate readiness predictions, bridging the gap between simple data collection and precise measurement.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

Data Source

PatentUS8568145B2Predictive performance optimizer
Publication Date: 2013.10.29 THE GOVERNMENT OF THE UNITED STATES AS REPRESENTED BY THE SECRETARY OF THE AIR FORCE
  • US8568145B2 patent drawing
  • US8568145B2 patent drawing
  • US8568145B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A method, apparatus and program product are provided for optimizing a training regimen to achieve performance goals. Historical training data is provided. At least one training regimen is defined. A training objective is selected for at least one training regimen to optimize. The training regimen is optimized by computing an initial training regimen solution and computing a neighbor solution at a distance from the initial training regimen solution. The neighbor solution is compared to the initial training regimen solution. If the neighbor solution is determined to be a better solution than the initial training regimen solution, the initial training regimen solution is replaced with the neighbor solution. The distance is updated per a schedule to compute a next neighbor solution.