Predictor Proficiency Scoring via Automated Sentiment Analysis

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Solution Overview

Problem

Individuals lack objective criteria to assess the reliability of opinions and predictions, as they are often subjective and not tied to measurable criteria, making it difficult to determine the proficiency of predictors and the sentiment of a community regarding an item.

Innovation Solution

A system and method that scores items based on user sentiment and determines the proficiency of predictors by gathering and analyzing predictions from a community, using a sentiment rating module and user proficiency module to provide community sentiment scores and proficiency rankings.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Quantity of substance

If subjective opinions and predictions are gathered from users, then the quantity of information available increases, but the reliability and objectivity of the information decreases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvequantity of informationVSAvoidreliability of information
Core Design Contradiction:
Quantity of substanceVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces subjective human judgment with an automated computer system that objectively measures and ranks predictors based on their historical accuracy. The system automatically processes predictions, compares them against actual outcomes, and generates reliability scores without human intervention, thereby maintaining high reliability while processing large quantities of information.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The system implements feedback mechanisms where predictors are continuously evaluated based on their prediction accuracy, and their reliability scores are updated in real-time. This feedback loop allows the system to dynamically adjust the weight and trust level assigned to different predictors, ensuring that only reliable information sources maintain high status while unreliable ones are downgraded.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

2Ease of operation

If no objective criteria are used to evaluate predictors, then the ease of operation increases, but the measurement precision of predictor proficiency decreases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveease of operationVSAvoidmeasurement precision of predictor proficiency
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of operationVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent transforms subjective predictor evaluations into objective numerical parameters. The system assigns quantitative reliability scores to predictors based on their historical accuracy rates, converting qualitative assessments into measurable data. This parameter transformation enables precise measurement of predictor proficiency while maintaining ease of operation through automated scoring.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

Solution Approach 2:

The system substitutes manual evaluation processes with automated computer-based measurement. The computer automatically calculates predictor reliability based on objective criteria such as accuracy rates, eliminating the need for subjective human judgment while providing precise, quantifiable measurements of predictor performance.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

3Productivity

If individual predictions are analyzed without community context, then the productivity of analysis increases, but the reliability of the assessment decreases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveproductivity of analysisVSAvoidreliability of assessment
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The patent merges individual predictor assessments with community-wide context by analyzing predictions within the broader ecosystem of multiple predictors and items. The system evaluates how individual predictors perform relative to others and adjusts reliability assessments based on community trends and patterns, thereby enhancing the reliability of individual assessments while maintaining high productivity through automated processing.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #5Merging (Combining)

Data Source

PatentUS7813986B2System, method, and computer program product for scoring items based on user sentiment and for determining the proficiency of predictors
Publication Date: 2010.10.12 MOTLEY FOOL LLC
  • US7813986B2 patent drawing
  • US7813986B2 patent drawing
  • US7813986B2 patent drawing

AI summary

The present invention provides systems, methods, computer program products, and combinations and subcombinations thereof for scoring items based on user sentiment and for aiding an investment decision on an item by an individual. The invention includes one or more user devices and a prediction system server having a sentiment rating module, a user proficiency ranking module, a content creation module, and a database. Devices access the prediction system server directly via a communications medium or indirectly through links provided on a third party server.