Probabilistic Modeling for Product Design Optimization

Resolve Bottlenecks,
Find Innovative Solutions
Generate Solutions

Solution Overview

Problem

Current product design systems are limited in optimizing multiple competing design requirements simultaneously, hiding underlying relationships between design parameters and product responses, and are inefficient due to reliance on slow simulation tools and inability to handle stochastic variability and multi-dimensional optimizations.

Innovation Solution

A method and system that preprocesses data records to generate statistical distributions for input and output parameters, using computational models to optimize product designs based on probabilistic modeling, allowing for the identification of interrelationships and causal relationships between design inputs and outputs, and reducing computational load by selecting relevant input parameters and using neural networks for optimization.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Productivity

If multiple design requirements are transformed into a single goal function for optimization, then optimization can be performed, but the underlying relationships and interactions between design parameters and product responses are hidden

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveoptimization capabilityVSAvoidunderlying relationships between design parameters and product responses
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSLoss of information

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments the optimization problem by maintaining multiple separate goal functions corresponding to different design requirements (stress, strain, vibration, etc.) rather than combining them into a single function. This allows the system to evaluate and optimize each requirement independently while preserving the distinct relationships between design parameters and each specific product response.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

2Manufacturing precision

If domain-specific optimization algorithms are used, then single requirement optimization is achieved, but multiple competing design requirements cannot be optimized simultaneously

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvesingle requirement optimizationVSAvoidability to optimize multiple competing requirements
Core Design Contradiction:
Manufacturing precisionVSAdaptability or versatility

Solution Approach 1:

The patent creates a universal optimization system that can handle multiple competing design requirements simultaneously by implementing a multi-objective optimization framework. The system evaluates multiple goal functions (stress, strain, vibration response, modal frequencies, stability) concurrently and finds design configurations that balance all requirements, making the optimization process adaptable to various competing objectives without being limited to a single domain-specific algorithm.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

3Measurement precision

If slow simulation tools are used to generate each new model result, then accurate analysis is obtained, but computational efficiency is reduced

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveanalysis accuracyVSAvoidcomputational efficiency
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSProductivity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies preliminary action by pre-processing data records and establishing heuristic models between design inputs and outputs before the optimization process begins. The system collects desired patterns of design inputs and pre-computes relationships, creating a database of pre-analyzed configurations. During optimization, the system queries this pre-computed information rather than running full simulations for each evaluation, significantly reducing computational load while maintaining accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

4Productivity

If single point solutions are provided, then optimization results are obtained, but the solutions may be unstable when subject to stochastic variability

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveoptimization result deliveryVSAvoidsolution stability under stochastic variability
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The patent transforms the optimization output from single point solutions to statistical distributions of design parameters. Instead of providing a single optimal value for each design parameter, the system computes probability distributions that capture the variability and uncertainty in the optimization results. This allows designers to understand the range of possible outcomes and select parameter values that are robust to stochastic variability in manufacturing and operation, thereby improving solution reliability.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

Data Source

PatentUS7831416B2Probabilistic modeling system for product design
Publication Date: 2010.11.09 CATERPILLAR INC
  • US7831416B2 patent drawing
  • US7831416B2 patent drawing
  • US7831416B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A method is provided for designing a product. The method may include obtaining data records relating to one or more input variables and one or more output parameters associated with the product; and pre-processing the data records based on characteristics of the input variables. The method may also include selecting one or more input parameters from the one or more input variables; and generating a computational model indicative of interrelationships between the one or more input parameters and the one or more output parameters based on the data records. Further, the method may include providing a set of constraints to the computational model representative of a compliance state for the product; and using the computational model and the provided set of constraints to generate statistical distributions for the one or more input parameters and the one or more output parameters, wherein the one or more input parameters and the one or more output parameters represent a design for the product.