Photovoltaic Irradiation Forecasting for Power Network Stabilization

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Solution Overview

Problem

Photovoltaic systems face rapid and unpredictable power drops due to cloud shading, which existing compensation measures struggle to address effectively, often requiring inaccurate weather forecasts and complex algorithms for timely preparation.

Innovation Solution

A method using a forecasting device and control system that detects increases in light irradiation patterns to anticipate imminent power drops, allowing for early preparation and stabilization of the power supply network by adjusting energy sources and load distribution.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Loss of time

If weather forecast is used to prepare compensating measures, then lead time is extended, but measurement precision deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvelead timeVSAvoidprecision of shading time prediction
Core Design Contradiction:
Loss of timeVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent introduces an intermediary detection system (cameras, light sensors, irradiation detectors) that indirectly measures cloud proximity and irradiation changes before actual shading occurs. This intermediary detection provides both early warning (addressing lead time) and precise measurement of irradiation changes (addressing precision), resolving the contradiction between early preparation and accurate timing.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

Solution Approach 2:

The system performs preliminary detection of irradiation increases that precede actual shading events. By detecting the increase in light irradiation as clouds approach (before they block the sun), the system enables preliminary activation of compensating measures, thus providing both lead time and accurate prediction of shading occurrence.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

2Measurement precision

If upwardly directed camera with fisheye lens is used to measure cloud distribution, then measurement capability is improved, but device complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecloud distribution measurement capabilityVSAvoidcomplexity of identification algorithms
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces complex mechanical/optical systems (upwardly directed cameras with fisheye lenses and sophisticated identification algorithms) with a simpler irradiation detection approach. By using light sensors, pyranometers, or power output measurements to detect irradiation increases, the system achieves cloud detection and shading prediction without requiring complex image processing algorithms or specialized camera systems.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent extracts the essential measurement function from the complex camera system. Instead of using full cloud distribution imaging and complex algorithms, it extracts only the critical information needed: the increase in light irradiation before shading. This extraction simplifies the device while maintaining the ability to predict shading events accurately.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

3Reliability

If compensating measures are initiated early based on irradiation increase detection, then reliability of power supply is improved, but loss of time for normal operation increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvereliability of power supplyVSAvoidpre-warning time causing extended preparation period
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system dynamically adjusts the timing and intensity of compensating measures based on the detected irradiation increase pattern. Rather than always initiating maximum preparation, it modulates the compensating power activation according to the rate and magnitude of irradiation change, enabling reliable power supply maintenance while minimizing unnecessary extended preparation periods and associated losses.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

Applied Scientific Principles

This section explains which scientific principles are used to turn an abstract innovation direction into a practical engineering solution.

Function Achieved in This Case

Enables early identification and preparation for power drops, reducing high loadings on other network components and increasing reliability by providing a pre-warning time for compensatory measures, thus stabilizing the power supply.

Implementation Method 1

Photovoltaic systems are becoming increasingly important as renewable energy sources

Methodology Applied
Scientific EffectPhotovoltaic effect: Photovoltaic Effect

Implementation Method 2

The time profile of the light irradiation can advantageously be ascertained by means of a light sensor of the photovoltaic system

Methodology Applied
Scientific EffectPhotoelectric effect: Photoelectric Effect

Data Source

PatentUS11128133B2Method, forecasting device and control device for controlling a power network with a photovoltaic system
Publication Date: 2021.09.21 SIEMENS AG
  • US11128133B2 patent drawing
  • US11128133B2 patent drawing

AI summary

To control a power network having a photovoltaic system, a time curve of a light radiation of the photovoltaic system is determined, wherein an increase of the time curve in relation to a reference curve of the light radiation is detected. As a result of the detection of the increase, a preparatory measure is then introduced to prepare the power network for an upcoming power drop of the photovoltaic system.