Quantum-Enhanced Order Book Liquidity Clustering Prediction

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing systems face challenges in predicting which side of an order book market liquidity will cluster, leading to inefficiencies in trading decisions and suboptimal execution strategies due to the difficulty in training models on constantly changing data and the time-consuming nature of classical computing.

Innovation Solution

The use of a blended or stacked model that combines classical computing and quantum computing to predict the clustering of order book liquidity, utilizing machine learning techniques such as Quantum Bayesian, recurrent neural networks, and extreme gradient boosted trees to determine the probability of directionality of price movement and inform execution strategies.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If classical computing is used to train machine learning models on constantly changing order book data, then model training can be performed, but the training process is time-consuming and computationally intensive

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction accuracyVSAvoidmodel training time
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces the classical computing mechanical system with a quantum computing system. The quantum computer performs machine learning model training using quantum algorithms (such as quantum support vector machines, quantum neural networks) that can process order book data and predict liquidity clustering significantly faster than classical computers, thereby reducing model training time while maintaining or improving prediction accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent changes the computational parameters by transitioning from classical to quantum computing resources. This parameter change enables the system to handle the complexity of constantly changing order book data more efficiently, reducing training time through quantum parallelism and exponential speedup capabilities of quantum algorithms.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

2Reliability

If more data is collected and processed to improve prediction accuracy of liquidity clustering, then prediction reliability increases, but the computational complexity and training time increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction reliabilityVSAvoidcomputational complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent substitutes quantum computing for classical computing to handle large volumes of order book data. Quantum algorithms can process and analyze complex patterns in market data more efficiently, achieving high prediction reliability without proportionally increasing computational complexity. The quantum system's ability to handle exponential state spaces allows it to manage data complexity more effectively.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

3Productivity

If classical machine learning models are used to predict order book liquidity clustering, then the system can operate, but the predictions are not sufficiently accurate for optimal execution strategy determination

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvetrading efficiencyVSAvoidprediction accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces classical machine learning models with quantum machine learning models. Quantum algorithms such as quantum support vector machines, quantum neural networks, and quantum gradient descent provide superior predictive performance for liquidity clustering patterns. This substitution enables more accurate predictions of which side of the order book will cluster, thereby improving execution strategy determination and overall trading efficiency.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Data Source

PatentUS20240338768A1Systems and methods for predicting a cluster of a side of order book market liquidity
Publication Date: 2024.10.10 WELLS FARGO BANK NA
  • US20240338768A1 patent drawing
  • US20240338768A1 patent drawing
  • US20240338768A1 patent drawing

AI summary

Systems, apparatuses, methods, and computer program products are disclosed for predicting or determining the side of an order book that market liquidity will cluster at a future time period to facilitate optimization of spread capture. The method may include receiving market tick data. The method may include receiving an order book. The method may include in response to reception of the market tick data generating a probability or outcome indicating which side of the order book will cluster, determining an execution strategy based on the probability or outcome, and performing the execution strategy in relation to the order book.