Risk Relation Matrix Decomposition for Asset Pricing

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current financial modeling tools lack accuracy and practicality in valuing financial assets, particularly in determining absolute valuations, due to limitations in existing asset pricing theories and models.

Innovation Solution

A numerical modeling apparatus and method that utilizes Risk Relation Matrices to decompose risk vectors into eigenvectors and eigenvalues, deriving components of risk vectors in a basis of unit independent risks, and calculates the term structure of the price of risk to provide more detailed and accurate financial modeling information.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Ease of manufacture

If Mean-Variance approach is used for asset pricing, then portfolio construction becomes mathematically tractable, but accuracy of valuation deteriorates due to neglecting higher order moments like skew and kurtosis

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemathematical tractabilityVSAvoidvaluation accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of manufactureVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent changes the parameters used in asset pricing from only mean and variance to include higher order moments (skewness, kurtosis) and the full probability distribution function. This allows the model to capture more nuanced risk characteristics while maintaining mathematical tractability through the use of characteristic functions and Fourier transforms.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

2Stability of the object's composition

If CAPM equilibrium theory is applied, then market clearing condition is satisfied, but practical applicability deteriorates due to unrealistic assumptions about market participant views

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemarket equilibriumVSAvoidpractical applicability
Core Design Contradiction:
Stability of the object's compositionVSAdaptability or versatility

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments the aggregate market equilibrium into individual asset-level pricing relationships. Instead of assuming all market participants share identical views, the model allows each asset to be priced based on its own characteristic function and risk parameters, while still satisfying overall market clearing conditions through the equilibrium constraint on the pricing kernel.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The patent introduces dynamic elements by allowing the pricing kernel and risk parameters to vary over time and across different states of the world. The model uses time-varying characteristic functions and state-dependent pricing, enabling adaptation to changing market conditions while maintaining theoretical rigor.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

3Adaptability or versatility

If dynamic asset pricing models in general equilibrium setting are used, then derivative pricing becomes feasible, but effectiveness in determining valuations of underlying non-derivative assets deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvederivative pricing capabilityVSAvoidunderlying asset valuation
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent inverts the traditional approach by first establishing accurate pricing for underlying assets using their characteristic functions and direct risk parameters, then using these calibrated parameters to price derivatives. This ensures that underlying asset valuations remain the primary focus and are not distorted by derivative market assumptions.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #13The other way round (Inversion)

Data Source

PatentUS9082152B2Numerical modelling apparatus and method for pricing, trading and risk assessment
Publication Date: 2015.07.14 MURA MICHAEL E
  • US9082152B2 patent drawing
  • US9082152B2 patent drawing
  • US9082152B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A numerical modelling apparatus and method of performing numerical modelling are described. An input unit receives signals giving information relating to a set of assets. A processor unit is arranged to provide a set of Risk Relation Matrices Vτ for set of investment horizons indicated by τ. Each of the Risk Relation Matrices Vτ comprises a plurality of elements, wherein each of the elements represents a relationship of risk related to a respective pair of the assets and each element is given by a scalar product of two risk vectors, such that each of the assets has an associated risk vector according to the elements of the risk relation matrix. The processor unit is arranged to decompose each of the Risk Relation Matrices Vτ into eigenvectors and eigenvalues according to Vτ=Eτ·Λτ·E′τ, where, at each tenor τ, Eτ is a set of eigenvectors of the risk matrix Vτ in columns, Λτ is the corresponding diagonal eigenvalue matrix, and E′τ is the transpose of Eτ. Components of each of the risk vectors are derived at each tenor τ in the basis of unit independent risks by the corresponding row of the matrix product Eτ·Λτ1/2 relating to each of the assets. An output unit is arranged to output the components of each of the risk vectors as a risk vector data set.