Risk Assessment Utility Model for Value-Aligned Decisions

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Solution Overview

Problem

Individuals often make irrational or risky decisions that deviate from their personal values due to psychological and cognitive biases, and it is difficult to identify and understand these deviations in real-time.

Innovation Solution

A system that determines user values, generates a risk-neutral utility function based on these values, and compares user selections to choice options against this function to assess the risk of potential decisions.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Speed

If individuals make decisions based on limited time and information, then decision speed is improved, but decision accuracy and alignment with personal values deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedecision speedVSAvoiddecision alignment with values
Core Design Contradiction:
SpeedVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary actions by pre-determining user values and constructing a risk-neutral utility function before the actual decision-making moment. This allows the system to quickly compare potential decisions against established value benchmarks without requiring extensive real-time analysis, thus maintaining fast decision speed while improving alignment accuracy through pre-established value frameworks.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

2Measurement precision

If individuals attempt to identify risky decisions in real-time, then decision accuracy is improved, but cognitive load and time consumption increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improverisk identification accuracyVSAvoidtime for decision analysis
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system implements feedback by comparing actual user decisions against the pre-established risk-neutral utility function and providing real-time risk assessments. This automated feedback mechanism enables rapid identification of value-misaligned decisions without requiring substantial cognitive effort from users, as the computational analysis is performed by the system rather than the individual.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

3Speed

If psychological and cognitive biases influence decision-making, then decision speed is maintained, but decision quality and rationality deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedecision speedVSAvoiddecision rationality
Core Design Contradiction:
SpeedVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The system introduces an intermediary layer between the user's intuitive decision-making and the final choice by inserting risk assessment and value alignment verification. This intermediary process automatically detects when decisions deviate from personal values due to biases, providing corrective feedback that improves decision rationality while maintaining the user's natural decision speed through automated rather than manual intervention.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

Data Source

PatentUS12493807B2Systems and methods for assessing risk of potential decisions
Publication Date: 2025.12.09 TOYOTA JIDOSHA KK
  • US12493807B2 patent drawing
  • US12493807B2 patent drawing
  • US12493807B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A method implemented by a processor of a device, the method including determining one or more user values, determining a prompt requiring a decision, and receiving a user selection to one or more choice options related to the one or more user values and pertaining to the prompt requiring a decision. The method further includes comparing the user selection to a risk-neutral utility function and assessing a risk of a potential decision based on the comparison.