Road Characteristic Prediction for Vehicle Control

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing vehicle systems lack the ability to accurately predict and adapt to changing road characteristics in real-time, leading to suboptimal performance in varying conditions such as dry and wet, flat and hilly roads, which affects the operation of traction and stability control systems.

Innovation Solution

A vehicle system equipped with infrastructure and environmental sensors that process real-time data to predict future road characteristics, using probabilistic online learning and reinforcement learning to continuously update transition probabilities and adjust prediction horizons for accurate control of vehicle subsystems.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If real-time road characteristic prediction is implemented, then vehicle control precision is improved, but system complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveroad characteristic prediction accuracyVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary actions by collecting and processing road characteristic data in advance using sensors and probabilistic online learning algorithms. The prediction horizon mechanism prepares future road condition predictions before the vehicle actually encounters them, allowing the control system to pre-adjust to anticipated conditions rather than reacting to current conditions only.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The patent introduces an intermediary prediction layer between the physical road conditions and the vehicle control system. Sensors collect raw infrastructure information, which is then processed through probabilistic models and reinforcement learning algorithms to generate predicted road characteristics. This intermediary processing layer transforms complex sensor data into actionable prediction outputs that guide vehicle subsystem control.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

2Measurement precision

If prediction horizon is extended for better accuracy, then future road condition prediction improves, but computational time and resources increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction accuracyVSAvoidcomputational time
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The prediction horizon is implemented as a dynamic parameter that adjusts based on road conditions, vehicle speed, and prediction accuracy requirements. The system evaluates prediction errors and adaptively modifies the horizon length, extending it when higher accuracy is needed and reducing it when computational efficiency is prioritized. This dynamic adjustment allows the system to balance accuracy and computational burden in real-time.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

Solution Approach 2:

The system incorporates feedback mechanisms where prediction errors are continuously evaluated and used to adjust the prediction horizon and model parameters. The reinforcement learning component learns from past prediction outcomes, refining the optimal horizon length for different road conditions. This feedback loop enables the system to achieve high accuracy without consistently using maximum computational resources.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Data Source

PatentUS9421979B2Road characteristic prediction
Publication Date: 2016.08.23 FORD GLOBAL TECH LLC
  • US9421979B2 patent drawing
  • US9421979B2 patent drawing
  • US9421979B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A vehicle system includes at least one sensor that collects infrastructure information in real time and outputs sensor signals representing the collected infrastructure information. A processing device processes the sensor signals, predicts a future road characteristic based on the infrastructure information, and controls at least one vehicle subsystem in accordance with the predicted future road characteristic. A method includes receiving infrastructure information collected in real time, processing the infrastructure information, predicting a future road characteristic based on the infrastructure information, and controlling at least one vehicle subsystem in accordance with the predicted future road characteristic.