Road Transit Time Forecast Correction Using Cellular Localization Data

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing road traffic estimation methods using cellular mobile communications networks lack accuracy due to imprecise localization and anomalous driving behavior of vehicles engaged in phone calls, leading to unreliable transit time forecasts.

Innovation Solution

A method and system that corrects forecasted road transit times by utilizing data from mobile terminals connected to the cellular network, such as the number of calls and successive localizations, to refine estimates based on historical data and road type-specific thresholds, ensuring more precise traffic monitoring.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Area of stationary object

If cellular network localization data is used for traffic estimation, then capillary coverage and no additional infrastructure are achieved, but measurement precision and reliability deteriorate due to 150-200m errors and anomalous driving behavior

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecoverage areaVSAvoidlocalization precision
Core Design Contradiction:
Area of stationary objectVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent merges multiple data sources including cellular network localization data with other traffic information sources to compensate for the imprecision of individual cellular localization. By combining data from multiple terminals and cross-referencing with road network geometry and historical patterns, the system achieves acceptable measurement precision while maintaining capillary coverage.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #5Merging (Combining)

Solution Approach 2:

The system uses successive localization copies of the same mobile terminal to track vehicle movement. Instead of relying on a single precise measurement, it collects multiple localization points over time and uses these copies to infer traffic flow patterns, thereby overcoming the limitation of individual measurement precision.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #26Copying

2Productivity

If successive localizations of mobile terminals are used to estimate transit times, then traffic flow monitoring is achieved, but reliability deteriorates due to drivers modifying behavior during phone calls

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvetraffic monitoring capabilityVSAvoiddata reliability
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The system implements feedback mechanisms by comparing estimated transit times with actual observed times and adjusting the interpretation of localization data accordingly. When anomalies are detected (such as unusually long stops that may indicate phone call behavior), the system uses feedback from multiple data points to correct for these deviations and maintain reliable traffic estimates.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Solution Approach 2:

The patent collects excessive localization data points beyond what would be minimally required, then uses statistical filtering to extract reliable traffic information. By gathering more data than strictly necessary and applying filtering algorithms, the system can tolerate some anomalous data from phone-using drivers while still achieving accurate traffic flow monitoring.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

3Device complexity

If cellular network data is used without correction, then simple processing is maintained, but manufacturing precision of transit time forecasts deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprocessing complexityVSAvoidtransit time forecast accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Device complexityVSManufacturing precision

Solution Approach 1:

The system applies parameter changes by introducing correction factors that adjust the raw cellular localization data. These correction factors modify the time and position parameters based on known biases in cellular network localization, thereby improving forecast accuracy without fundamentally changing the processing architecture or requiring complex additional infrastructure.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

Data Source

PatentUS8849309B2Method and system for forecasting travel times on roads
Publication Date: 2014.09.30 TELECOM ITALIA SPA
  • US8849309B2 patent drawing
  • US8849309B2 patent drawing
  • US8849309B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A method of providing forecast of road transit times on roads of a monitored roads network, can include receiving a forecasted road transit time indication calculated by a road traffic monitoring system in respect of at least one road of the monitored roads network; and correcting the received forecasted road transit time indication based on information obtained from a cellular mobile communications network. The information includes information related to mobile terminals connected to the cellular mobile communications network and engaged in calls, and located in the neighborhood of the at least one road.