Runway Incursion Prediction Using Aircraft State Filtering

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current air traffic control systems rely heavily on human assessment and ground-based computer systems, which are labor-intensive, resource-intensive, and may not provide timely indications of potential runway incursions, and upgrading aircraft systems with greater processing power is costly and time-consuming.

Innovation Solution

A method and apparatus that identifies a subset of relevant aircraft based on their states to predict potential runway incursions, using a data processing system with a processor unit executing program code to analyze vehicle states and reduce the processing resources needed for trajectory prediction.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If human air traffic controllers and ground-based facilities are used to manage aircraft traffic and assess potential runway incursions, then safety assessment and traffic control can be performed, but the process becomes labor-intensive, resource-intensive, and may not provide timely indications

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvesafety assessmentVSAvoidtimeliness
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSProductivity

Solution Approach 1:

The aircraft's onboard system automatically performs traffic assessment and runway incursion prediction using its own sensors and processors, eliminating the need for continuous human monitoring and ground-based analysis. The system self-evaluates potential conflicts and provides timely alerts to the flight crew.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

Solution Approach 2:

The patent replaces the mechanical human assessment process with an automated electronic system that uses onboard sensors, processors, and algorithms to detect, analyze, and predict potential runway incursions, providing faster and more consistent safety assessment.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

2Measurement precision

If aircraft systems are upgraded with greater processing power to improve traffic analysis capability, then more accurate and timely runway incursion prediction can be achieved, but the cost and time required for upgrades increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improverunway incursion prediction accuracyVSAvoidupgrade cost
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSEase of manufacture

Solution Approach 1:

The aircraft uses its existing onboard sensors and processing resources to perform traffic assessment and runway incursion prediction, eliminating the need for expensive external upgrades. The system leverages available computational resources efficiently to achieve accurate prediction without additional hardware investments.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

Solution Approach 2:

The system focuses computational resources on predicting only the most critical and likely runway incursions rather than analyzing all possible scenarios, achieving high prediction accuracy for the most important cases while minimizing the processing power and cost requirements.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

3Reliability

If all aircraft traffic is analyzed to ensure comprehensive safety monitoring, then no potential runway incursions are missed, but the processing resources and time required increase significantly

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecomprehensive safety monitoringVSAvoidprocessing time
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system extracts and focuses only on the most relevant traffic information for runway incursion prediction, filtering out unnecessary data. By identifying and analyzing only the critical parameters and aircraft that pose potential risks, the system achieves comprehensive safety monitoring for runway incursions without the need to process all aircraft traffic data.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent segments the aircraft traffic analysis into distinct phases and focuses computational resources on the approach and landing phases where runway incursions are most likely to occur. By dividing the monitoring task into segments based on flight phase and risk level, the system achieves thorough safety monitoring during critical periods while reducing overall processing time and resource requirements.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Data Source

PatentUS8285473B1Predictive relevant traffic determination using vehicle states descriptions
Publication Date: 2012.10.09 THE BOEING CO
  • US8285473B1 patent drawing
  • US8285473B1 patent drawing
  • US8285473B1 patent drawing

AI summary

A method and apparatus for predicting traffic for analyzing runway incursions. A state for each of a plurality of aircraft is identified to form a plurality of identified states. A set of aircraft is identified from the plurality of aircraft based on the plurality of identified states to form a set of identified aircraft. A number of potential runway incursions is predicted using the set of identified aircraft.