Satellite Maneuver Detection Using Unsupervised Anomaly Models

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Solution Overview

Problem

The timely detection of satellite maneuvers from the large and growing number of space objects is challenging due to the inefficiencies of existing rule-based methods and the lack of labeled training data for machine learning algorithms, making it difficult to maintain effective space situational awareness and identify potentially hostile actions.

Innovation Solution

An unsupervised data-driven approach using anomaly detection with a hierarchical Gaussian mixture model to differentiate between space debris and satellite behavior, reducing the number of conjunctions of interest by flagging recent satellite maneuvers, thereby filtering out non-threatening conjunctions and focusing on potentially hostile operations.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Ease of manufacture

If rule-based methods are used for satellite maneuver detection, then the detection process is straightforward, but the method is time-consuming and lacks accuracy

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveease of implementationVSAvoiddetection speed
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of manufactureVSProductivity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces rule-based mechanical detection methods with a machine learning-based automated system. The ML model automatically analyzes TLE data to detect maneuvers, eliminating the need for manual rule-based analysis and significantly improving detection speed while maintaining accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The system enables self-service detection where the ML model autonomously processes TLE data and identifies maneuvers without requiring continuous human intervention or manual rule updates. The model learns from historical data and automatically adapts to detect new maneuver patterns.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

2Measurement precision

If machine learning algorithms are used for satellite maneuver detection, then detection accuracy can be improved, but the lack of labeled training data makes it difficult to train the models

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedetection accuracyVSAvoidavailability of training data
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSQuantity of substance

Solution Approach 1:

Instead of requiring labeled maneuver data to train the model, the patent inverts the approach by training the ML model on unlabeled TLE data using unsupervised learning techniques. The model learns normal orbital patterns and automatically identifies deviations as potential maneuvers, eliminating the need for scarce labeled training data.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #13The other way round (Inversion)

Solution Approach 2:

The ML model performs self-training by automatically learning from the structure and patterns in unlabeled TLE data. Through unsupervised learning, the model develops its own understanding of normal orbital behavior and can independently identify anomalies without requiring external labeled datasets.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

3Reliability

If all conjunctions are examined for potential rendezvous and proximity operations, then no threatening actions are missed, but the large number of conjunctions makes timely detection infeasible

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecompleteness of detectionVSAvoidanalysis time
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The patent extracts and prioritizes only the most relevant conjunctions for analysis by applying filtering criteria based on orbital parameters, satellite types, and proximity metrics. This extraction process separates critical conjunctions requiring detailed analysis from routine cases, enabling timely detection of threatening actions while maintaining reliability.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

Solution Approach 2:

Instead of examining all conjunctions equally, the patent applies partial action by focusing computational resources on a subset of high-priority conjunctions identified through automated filtering. This approach processes the most critical cases in detail while using automated triage for the remainder, achieving timely detection without exhaustive analysis.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

Data Source

PatentUS11649076B2Space object maneuver detection
Publication Date: 2023.05.16 RAYTHEON CO
  • US11649076B2 patent drawing
  • US11649076B2 patent drawing
  • US11649076B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A system detects a maneuver of at least one space object by receiving a first data set relating to orbital characteristics of at least one space debris object. The system trains a model, using the first data set, in order to model orbital behaviors of the at least one space debris object. The system then receives a second data set relating to orbital characteristics of the at least one space object, and detects a maneuver of the at least one space object using the trained model and the second data set.